ATP Brussels250Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Basavareddy vs Collignon 1:2: result and our tips

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Nishesh BasavareddyATP #134Elo 1896hard 1863
1:2final6:3 3:6 4:6
Raphael CollignonATP #55Elo 1946hard 1904

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Nishesh Basavareddy56%
Raphael Collignon44%

Elo: N. Basavareddy 44% · R. Collignon 56%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 N. Basavareddy35%
2:1 N. Basavareddy21%
2:1 R. Collignon19%
2:0 R. Collignon25%

First set

Nishesh Basavareddy55%
Raphael Collignon45%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 55%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.568%32%60%
21.562%38%54%
22.555%45%46%
23.548%53%40%
24.544%56%38%
25.541%59%35%
26.536%64%30%

Sample: 5,737 matches

Games handicap

Nishesh Basavareddy −1.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes46%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 22.5in · 28 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Nishesh BasavareddyRaphael Collignon
7Aces8
1Double faults5
56%First serves in65%
69%First-serve points won69%
53%Second-serve points won38%
3/13Break points converted4/4
10/14Service games held11/14
62%Service points won58%
42%Return points won38%
91Total points won88

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

N. BasavareddyTourR. Collignon
Service points won64%62%66%
Return points won39%38%37%
Service games held81%76%84%
Breaks of serve26%24%22%
Aces per service game0.400.56
Double faults per game0.350.34
Sets with a tie-break14%27%
Tie-breaks won10/1821/36
Wins in straight sets62%81%
Matches in the sample5056

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Nishesh Basavareddy

Raphael Collignon

Elo over the last year

Nishesh BasavareddyRaphael Collignon

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

N. BasavareddyR. Collignon
Hard court21–1068%16–1257%
Clay13–668%16–576%
Grass0–04–357%

Head to head

N. Basavareddy 1–0 R. Collignon

  • 18/08/25Winner: Nishesh Basavareddy6:2 7:6

Road through the tournament

Nishesh Basavareddy

Raphael Collignon

First match in this tournament.