ATP Brussels250Qualifying round 2hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Basavareddy vs Dougaz 2:0: result and our tips

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Nishesh BasavareddyATP #134Elo 1888hard 1853
2:0final6:4 7:5
Aziz DougazATP #397Elo 1697hard 1690

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: NoWon64%

Where the number comes from: market alone 68% → with the players' profiles 64%

No tie-break in recent matches: Basavareddy 14 of 20, Dougaz 15 of 20 (tour average 62%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Lost33%

Where the number comes from: market alone 31% → with the players' profiles 33%

Dougaz: 4 matches in a row over 23.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Nishesh Basavareddy84%
Aziz Dougaz16%

Elo: N. Basavareddy 72% · A. Dougaz 28%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 N. Basavareddy62%
2:1 N. Basavareddy20%
2:1 A. Dougaz8%
2:0 A. Dougaz9%

First set

Nishesh Basavareddy76%
Aziz Dougaz24%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes28%
no72%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 47%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.573%27%75%
19.564%36%67%
20.554%46%59%
21.547%53%53%
22.540%60%45%
23.533%67%39%
24.531%69%38%

Sample: 2,344 matches

Games handicap

Nishesh Basavareddy −4.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes36%

tour average 38%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.0in · 22 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Nishesh BasavareddyAziz Dougaz
7Aces8
0Double faults3
62%First serves in66%
80%First-serve points won62%
59%Second-serve points won63%
2/9Break points converted0/4
11/11Service games held9/11
72%Service points won62%
38%Return points won28%
78Total points won64

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

N. BasavareddyTourA. Dougaz
Service points won63%62%65%
Return points won39%38%36%
Service games held81%76%82%
Breaks of serve26%24%21%
Aces per service game0.390.55
Double faults per game0.350.29
Sets with a tie-break14%13%
Tie-breaks won10/182/9
Wins in straight sets61%46%
Matches in the sample4926

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Nishesh Basavareddy

Aziz Dougaz

Elo over the last year

Nishesh BasavareddyAziz Dougaz

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

N. BasavareddyA. Dougaz
Hard court20–1067%12–860%
Clay13–668%0–30%
Grass0–01–233%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Nishesh Basavareddy

Aziz Dougaz