Dougaz vs Gentzsch 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 65% → with the players' profiles 68%
Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Dougaz 12 of 20, Gentzsch 16 of 20 (tour average 60%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 39% → with the players' profiles 41%
Over 25.5 games in recent matches: Dougaz 11 of 20, Gentzsch 8 of 20 (tour average 34%); Dougaz: 3 matches in a row over 25.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: A. Dougaz 40% · T. Gentzsch 60%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 69% | 31% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 63% | 38% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 55% | 45% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 47% | 53% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 44% | 56% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 41% | 59% | 34% |
| 26.5 | 36% | 64% | 30% |
Sample: 5,198 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 23.0in · 31 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Aziz Dougaz | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aces | 5 |
| 1 | Double faults | 3 |
| 65% | First serves in | 75% |
| 77% | First-serve points won | 77% |
| 41% | Second-serve points won | 43% |
| 2/3 | Break points converted | 3/7 |
| 12/15 | Service games held | 13/15 |
| 65% | Service points won | 68% |
| 32% | Return points won | 35% |
| 89 | Total points won | 92 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Dougaz | Tour | T. Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 80% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 23% |
| Aces per service game | 0.56 | 0.54 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.30 | 0.29 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 18% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 1/8 | 16/32 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 58% | |
| Matches in the sample | 25 | 74 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Aziz Dougaz
- 13/10/26LDamir Dzumhur#103Challenger Olbia · R323:6 6:2 3:6
- 06/10/26LFederico Cina#147ATP Shanghai · Q23:6 6:4 4:6
- 05/10/26WLorenzo Sonego#87ATP Shanghai · Q17:6 5:7 6:4
- 27/08/26LAndrea Guerrieri#165ATP US Open · Q32:6 4:6
- 26/08/26WKyrian Jacquet#76ATP US Open · Q26:4 4:6 6:4
- 24/08/26WFederico Agustin Gomez#204ATP US Open · Q16:4 6:2
- 16/08/26LHayato Matsuoka#247Challenger Astana · F6:0 1:6 6:7
- 15/08/26WSergey Fomin#294Challenger Astana · SF4:6 6:1 7:5
- 14/08/26WJie Cui#420Challenger Astana · QF6:2 4:6 7:5
- 13/08/26WManas Dhamne#402Challenger Astana · R167:5 6:3
Tom Gentzsch
- 16/10/26LDamir Dzumhur#103Challenger Olbia · QF0:6 3:6
- 15/10/26WGeorgii Kravchenko#313Challenger Olbia · R166:3 3:6 6:4
- 13/10/26WNiels Visker#415Challenger Olbia · R324:6 6:3 6:4
- 24/09/26LCarlo Alberto Caniato#318Challenger Genoa 2 · R163:6 7:5 5:7
- 22/09/26WEnrico Dalla Valle#319Challenger Genoa 2 · R326:4 7:6
- 18/09/26LLuka Mikrut#167Challenger Szczecin · QF3:6 6:4 3:6
- 16/09/26WMartin Krumich#257Challenger Szczecin · R166:3 6:4
- 14/09/26WAlan Ważny#823Challenger Szczecin · R327:5 6:7 6:0
- 08/09/26LMassimo Giunta#390Challenger Genoa · R323:6 6:7
- 26/08/26LFrancesco Passaro#229ATP US Open · Q26:7 4:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Dougaz | T. Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 11–858% | 17–1357% |
| Clay | 0–30% | 26–1367% |
| Grass | 1–233% | 2–340% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.