Challenger OlbiaChallenger 175Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Gentzsch vs Visker 2:1: result and our tips

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Tom GentzschATP #164Elo 1798hard 1725
2:1final4:6 6:3 6:4
Niels ViskerATP #415Elo 1608hard 1635

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Won65%

Where the number comes from: market alone 59% → with the players' profiles 65%

Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Gentzsch 17 of 20, Visker 12 of 20 (tour average 54%)

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost63%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Visker: 7 matches in a row without a deciding set

Long shot
Tie-break in Match: YesLost46%

Where the number comes from: market alone 35% → with the players' profiles 46%

A tie-break in recent matches: Gentzsch 10 of 20, Visker 9 of 20 (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Tom Gentzsch64%
Niels Visker36%

Elo: T. Gentzsch 63% · N. Visker 37%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Gentzsch42%
2:1 T. Gentzsch22%
2:1 N. Visker16%
2:0 N. Visker21%

First set

Tom Gentzsch60%
Niels Visker40%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 52%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.573%27%62%
20.565%35%54%
21.558%42%49%
22.552%48%42%
23.545%55%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.538%62%32%

Sample: 5,557 matches

Games handicap

Tom Gentzsch −2.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes46%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 22.5in · 29 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Tom GentzschNiels Visker
8Aces9
1Double faults4
60%First serves in55%
64%First-serve points won85%
81%Second-serve points won55%
2/2Break points converted1/8
14/15Service games held12/14
71%Service points won71%
29%Return points won29%
87Total points won79

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. GentzschTourN. Visker
Service points won64%62%67%
Return points won38%38%34%
Service games held80%76%87%
Breaks of serve24%24%17%
Aces per service game0.530.85
Double faults per game0.290.34
Sets with a tie-break19%31%
Tie-breaks won16/3217/32
Wins in straight sets61%78%
Matches in the sample7147

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Tom Gentzsch

Niels Visker

Elo over the last year

Tom GentzschNiels Visker

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. GentzschN. Visker
Hard court15–1256%18–1162%
Clay26–1367%7–654%
Grass2–340%2–340%

Head to head

T. Gentzsch 0–1 N. Visker

  • 19/11/25Winner: Niels Visker6:7 4:6

Road through the tournament

Tom Gentzsch

First match in this tournament.

Niels Visker