Challenger OlbiaChallenger 175Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Marrero Curbelo vs Visker 0:2: result and our tips

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Ivan Marrero CurbeloATP #370Elo 1563hard 1550
0:2final6:7(5) 2:6
Niels ViskerATP #415Elo 1586hard 1613

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won63%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Visker: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Ivan Marrero Curbelo37%
Niels Visker63%

Elo: I. Marrero Curbelo 41% · N. Visker 59%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 I. Marrero Curbelo22%
2:1 I. Marrero Curbelo16%
2:1 N. Visker22%
2:0 N. Visker41%

First set

Ivan Marrero Curbelo40%
Niels Visker60%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 55%market (no margin): 53%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.569%31%62%
20.561%39%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.549%51%42%
23.542%58%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,599 matches

Games handicap

Niels Visker −2.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes38%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 21.5out · 21 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Ivan Marrero CurbeloNiels Visker
0Aces7
1Double faults9
73%First serves in51%
55%First-serve points won81%
60%Second-serve points won44%
2/5Break points converted4/14
6/10Service games held8/10
56%Service points won63%
37%Return points won44%
68Total points won77

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

I. Marrero CurbeloTourN. Visker
Service points won60%62%67%
Return points won42%38%34%
Service games held70%76%87%
Breaks of serve33%24%17%
Aces per service game0.110.86
Double faults per game0.290.33
Sets with a tie-break10%30%
Tie-breaks won5/1116/31
Wins in straight sets54%77%
Matches in the sample4446

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo

  • 11/10/26WAndrea Colombo#853Challenger Olbia · Q16:4 6:1
  • 05/10/26LPhilip Henning#267Challenger Villena · Q25:7 0:6
  • 04/10/26WJoshua Sheehy#772Challenger Villena · Q16:2 2:6 7:6
  • 27/09/26LLuca Potenza#528Challenger Porto 2 · Q14:6 6:4 3:6
  • 07/09/26LMaks Kaśnikowski#238Challenger Istanbul 3 · R326:4 5:7 0:6
  • 31/08/26LOskari Paldanius#787Challenger Manacor · Q14:6 0:2
  • 26/08/26LAndres Andrade#203Challenger Kingston 2 · R164:6 2:6
  • 25/08/26WBlaise Bicknell#421Challenger Kingston 2 · R323:6 7:5 6:2
  • 17/08/26LLucas Andrade Da Silva#771Challenger Kingston · Q24:6 4:6
  • 16/08/26WLev SeidmanChallenger Kingston · Q16:2 4:6 6:3

Niels Visker

Elo over the last year

Ivan Marrero CurbeloNiels Visker

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

I. Marrero CurbeloN. Visker
Hard court14–1352%17–1161%
Clay10–759%7–654%
Grass0–02–340%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Ivan Marrero Curbelo

Niels Visker