WTA 125 MallorcaRound of 16claybest of three sets
Bassols Ribera vs Curmi: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 3h 20mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Marina Bassols Ribera60%
Francesca Curmi40%
Elo: M. Bassols Ribera 56% · F. Curmi 44%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 M. Bassols Ribera35%
2:1 M. Bassols Ribera22%
2:1 F. Curmi17%
2:0 F. Curmi26%
First set
Marina Bassols Ribera53%
Francesca Curmi47%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 67% | 33% | 59% |
| 19.5 | 60% | 41% | 52% |
| 20.5 | 53% | 48% | 45% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 52% | 42% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 37% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 33% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 31% |
Sample: 1,520 matches
Games handicap
Marina Bassols Ribera −2.548%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes23%
tour average 20%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Bassols Ribera | Tour | F. Curmi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 54% | 56% | 55% |
| Return points won | 48% | 44% | 45% |
| Service games held | 61% | 63% | 64% |
| Breaks of serve | 45% | 37% | 40% |
| Aces per service game | 0.07 | 0.12 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.41 | 0.23 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | 9% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/10 | 1/2 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 67% | |
| Matches in the sample | 47 | 10 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Marina Bassols Ribera
- 13/10/26WIda Wobker#539WTA 125 Mallorca · R326:1 6:3
- 01/10/26LKamilla Rakhimova#69WTA Beijing · R1284:6 6:7
- 29/09/26WXiaodi You#201WTA Beijing · Q26:4 6:4
- 28/09/26WOlivia NichollsWTA Beijing · Q16:1 6:1
- 16/09/26LGuiomar Maristany Zuleta de Reales#148WTA 125 Valencia · R163:6 6:3 4:6
- 14/09/26WEva Bennemann#284WTA 125 Valencia · R326:4 6:2
- 08/09/26LGuiomar Maristany Zuleta de Reales#148WTA 125 Montreux · R322:6 1:6
- 26/08/26LMartyna Kubka#166WTA US Open · Q23:6 2:6
- 25/08/26WDarya Astakhova#174WTA US Open · Q14:6 7:6 6:3
- 11/08/26LSinja Kraus#75WTA Cincinnati · Q14:6 3:6
Francesca Curmi
- 12/10/26WEva Vedder#176WTA 125 Mallorca · R324:6 7:5 6:0
- 16/09/26LJoelle Lilly Sophie Steur#283WTA 125 Valencia · R167:6 3:6 4:6
- 14/09/26WVeronika Erjavec#144WTA 125 Valencia · R326:1 2:6 6:2
- 07/09/26LNuria Brancaccio#232WTA 125 Montreux · R324:6 5:7
- 10/07/26LJeline Vandromme#123WTA 125 Contrexeville · QF3:6 0:6
- 08/07/26WRebeka Masarova#171WTA 125 Contrexeville · R166:4 6:4
- 06/07/26WOceane Dodin#307WTA 125 Contrexeville · R326:4 6:3
- 21/04/26LAlisa Oktiabreva#311WTA 125 Oeiras 4 · R326:7 3:6
- 20/04/26WElena Ruxandra Bertea#321WTA 125 Oeiras 4 · Q26:2 6:1
- 19/04/26WClaire Liu#96WTA 125 Oeiras 4 · Q16:4 7:5
Elo over the last year
Marina Bassols RiberaFrancesca Curmi
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Bassols Ribera | F. Curmi | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 7–944% | 0–0 |
| Clay | 17–1161% | 6–460% |
| Grass | 2–167% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Marina Bassols Ribera
- 13/10/26WIda Wobker#539WTA 125 Mallorca · R326:1 6:3
Francesca Curmi
- 12/10/26WEva Vedder#176WTA 125 Mallorca · R324:6 7:5 6:0