ATP ShanghaiMasters 1000Round of 128hardbest of three sets
Bellucci vs Zhou 1:2: result and our tips
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Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Mattia Bellucci77%
Yi Zhou23%
Elo: M. Bellucci 83% · Y. Zhou 17%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 M. Bellucci54%
2:1 M. Bellucci22%
2:1 Y. Zhou12%
2:0 Y. Zhou12%
First set
Mattia Bellucci71%
Yi Zhou29%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 53%market (no margin): 52%
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 77% | 23% | 76% |
| 19.5 | 69% | 31% | 67% |
| 20.5 | 60% | 40% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 53% | 47% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 46% | 54% | 45% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 63% | 38% |
Sample: 3,355 matches
Games handicap
Mattia Bellucci −4.544%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes43%
tour average 38%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Over 21.5in · 32 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Mattia Bellucci | Yi Zhou | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aces | 12 |
| 2 | Double faults | 3 |
| 66% | First serves in | 66% |
| 75% | First-serve points won | 78% |
| 55% | Second-serve points won | 43% |
| 2/11 | Break points converted | 1/6 |
| 14/15 | Service games held | 14/16 |
| 68% | Service points won | 66% |
| 35% | Return points won | 32% |
| 105 | Total points won | 107 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Bellucci | Tour | Y. Zhou | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 81% | 76% | 80% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 23% |
| Aces per service game | 0.55 | 0.56 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.24 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 16% | 20% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 11/24 | 13/26 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 76% | |
| Matches in the sample | 64 | 55 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Mattia Bellucci
- 06/10/26WAlexandre Muller#133ATP Shanghai · Q26:4 6:2
- 05/10/26WElias Ymer#192ATP Shanghai · Q14:6 7:5 7:6
- 04/10/26LLloyd Harris#110Challenger Jingshan · F6:1 3:6 6:7
- 03/10/26WYanki Erel#300Challenger Jingshan · SF6:4 6:4
- 01/10/26WAdam Walton#98Challenger Jingshan · R167:5 6:2
- 30/09/26WAlexandre Muller#133Challenger Jingshan · R326:0 6:3
- 29/09/26WKeisuke Saitoh#550Challenger Jingshan · Q26:2 6:2
- 28/09/26WFilip Peliwo#661Challenger Jingshan · Q16:2 6:4
- 24/09/26LKamil Majchrzak#70ATP Hangzhou · R323:6 4:6
- 03/09/26LTaylor Fritz#12ATP US Open · R640:6 1:6 1:6
Yi Zhou
- 28/09/26LPablo Carreno Busta#65ATP Beijing · Q15:7 3:6
- 24/09/26LJuan Manuel Cerúndolo#55ATP Chengdu · R324:6 3:6
- 11/09/26LIlya Ivashka#237Challenger Shanghai · QF3:6 3:6
- 10/09/26WJie Cui#420Challenger Shanghai · R167:6 6:4
- 08/09/26WSergey Fomin#294Challenger Shanghai · R327:6 7:5
- 01/09/26LIlya Ivashka#237Challenger Zhangjiagang · R326:3 6:7 3:6
- 29/07/26LDaniel Milavsky#315Challenger Vancouver · R326:3 1:6 3:6
- 22/07/26LLuka Pavlovic#207Challenger Segovia · R164:6 6:7
- 20/07/26WMichael Geerts#345Challenger Segovia · R326:1 6:4
- 15/07/26LTiago Pereira#339Challenger Pozoblanco · R167:5 6:7 3:6
Elo over the last year
Mattia BellucciYi Zhou
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Bellucci | Y. Zhou | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 22–1954% | 21–2051% |
| Clay | 7–750% | 0–20% |
| Grass | 5–456% | 8–467% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Mattia Bellucci
- 05/10/26WElias Ymer#192ATP Shanghai · Q14:6 7:5 7:6
- 06/10/26WAlexandre Muller#133ATP Shanghai · Q26:4 6:2
Yi Zhou
First match in this tournament.