ATP Lyon250Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Berrettini vs Jacquet 0:2: result and our tips

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Matteo BerrettiniATP #43Elo 1990hard 1949
0:2final6:7(4) 5:7
Kyrian JacquetATP #85Elo 1898hard 1885

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Matteo Berrettini57%
Kyrian Jacquet43%

Elo: M. Berrettini 59% · K. Jacquet 41%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Berrettini36%
2:1 M. Berrettini21%
2:1 K. Jacquet19%
2:0 K. Jacquet24%

First set

Matteo Berrettini55%
Kyrian Jacquet45%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 23.0 · 50%market (no margin): 52%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.571%29%60%
21.564%37%54%
22.558%42%46%
23.550%50%40%
24.544%56%38%
25.542%58%35%
26.538%62%30%

Sample: 5,801 matches

Games handicap

Matteo Berrettini −1.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes50%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Over 23.0in · 25 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Matteo BerrettiniKyrian Jacquet
13Aces16
1Double faults0
64%First serves in68%
78%First-serve points won85%
60%Second-serve points won39%
0/5Break points converted1/1
11/12Service games held12/12
71%Service points won70%
30%Return points won29%
76Total points won81

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. BerrettiniTourK. Jacquet
Service points won68%62%65%
Return points won34%38%39%
Service games held85%76%81%
Breaks of serve17%24%25%
Aces per service game0.680.50
Double faults per game0.160.23
Sets with a tie-break26%23%
Tie-breaks won18/3123/37
Wins in straight sets52%65%
Matches in the sample4563

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Matteo Berrettini

Kyrian Jacquet

Elo over the last year

Matteo BerrettiniKyrian Jacquet

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. BerrettiniK. Jacquet
Hard court11–955%25–1464%
Clay12–1055%8–657%
Grass2–167%7–370%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Matteo Berrettini

First match in this tournament.

Kyrian Jacquet