ATP Lyon250Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Jacquet vs Gueymard Wayenburg 2:0: result and our tips

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Kyrian JacquetATP #85Elo 1888hard 1872
2:0final6:3 7:5
Sascha Gueymard WayenburgATP #181Elo 1781hard 1789

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 24.5Won58%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Gueymard Wayenburg: 5 matches in a row under 24.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Kyrian Jacquet58%
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg42%

Elo: K. Jacquet 62% · S. Gueymard Wayenburg 38%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Jacquet36%
2:1 K. Jacquet21%
2:1 S. Gueymard Wayenburg19%
2:0 S. Gueymard Wayenburg24%

First set

Kyrian Jacquet56%
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg45%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.574%26%68%
20.566%34%60%
21.560%40%54%
22.552%48%46%
23.546%54%39%
24.543%57%38%
25.540%60%35%

Sample: 5,818 matches

Games handicap

Kyrian Jacquet −1.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes43%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 22.5out · 21 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Kyrian JacquetSascha Gueymard Wayenburg
7Aces7
0Double faults1
68%First serves in67%
78%First-serve points won66%
47%Second-serve points won36%
4/9Break points converted2/4
9/11Service games held6/10
68%Service points won56%
44%Return points won32%
70Total points won56

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. JacquetTourS. Gueymard Wayenburg
Service points won65%62%63%
Return points won39%38%38%
Service games held81%76%78%
Breaks of serve25%24%24%
Aces per service game0.490.60
Double faults per game0.240.27
Sets with a tie-break23%15%
Tie-breaks won22/3612/23
Wins in straight sets67%68%
Matches in the sample6268

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Kyrian Jacquet

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Elo over the last year

Kyrian JacquetSascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. JacquetS. Gueymard Wayenburg
Hard court24–1463%27–1564%
Clay8–657%11–1542%
Grass7–370%0–0

Head to head

K. Jacquet 1–0 S. Gueymard Wayenburg

  • 27/03/23Winner: Kyrian Jacquet5:7 7:6 6:4