Challenger RoanneChallenger 125Quarterfinalhard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Martineau vs Gueymard Wayenburg 2:0: result and our tips

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Matteo MartineauATP #272Elo 1620hard 1638
2:0final6:3 6:4
Sascha Gueymard WayenburgATP #189Elo 1805hard 1815

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: Gueymard WayenburgLost68%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 68%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Gueymard Wayenburg won 9 of the last 10 matches

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 20.5Lost60%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 57% → with the players' profiles 60%

    Martineau: 5 matches in a row over 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Matteo Martineau30%
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg70%

Elo: M. Martineau 27% · S. Gueymard Wayenburg 73%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Martineau17%
2:1 M. Martineau13%
2:1 S. Gueymard Wayenburg22%
2:0 S. Gueymard Wayenburg47%

First set

Matteo Martineau35%
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg65%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.567%33%62%
20.559%41%54%
21.553%47%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.537%63%35%
25.534%66%32%

Sample: 4,725 matches

Games handicap

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg −3.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes37%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 23.0in · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Matteo MartineauSascha Gueymard Wayenburg
6Aces10
3Double faults3
83%First serves in48%
76%First-serve points won65%
56%Second-serve points won46%
3/7Break points converted1/4
9/10Service games held6/9
72%Service points won55%
45%Return points won28%
68Total points won50

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. MartineauTourS. Gueymard Wayenburg
Service points won63%62%63%
Return points won36%38%39%
Service games held79%76%78%
Breaks of serve20%24%24%
Aces per service game0.520.60
Double faults per game0.320.27
Sets with a tie-break26%15%
Tie-breaks won18/3812/23
Wins in straight sets48%68%
Matches in the sample6067

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Matteo Martineau

  • 15/10/26WEtienne Donnet#817Challenger Roanne · R165:7 6:4 6:2
  • 13/10/26WMax Schoenhaus#293Challenger Roanne · R326:2 7:6
  • 28/09/26LClement Tabur#160Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R326:7 7:6 3:6
  • 24/09/26LDaniel Masur#380Challenger Saint Tropez · R163:6 7:5 3:6
  • 22/09/26WTristan Schoolkate#155Challenger Saint Tropez · R327:6 6:7 7:6
  • 21/09/26WJustin Boulais#416Challenger Saint Tropez · Q26:3 6:1
  • 20/09/26WCesar Bouchelaghem#472Challenger Saint Tropez · Q16:1 6:4
  • 17/09/26LBorna Gojo#150Challenger Rennes · R164:6 4:6
  • 16/09/26WMax Schoenhaus#293Challenger Rennes · R327:6 6:4
  • 07/09/26LGijs Brouwer#847Challenger Cassis · R322:6 6:3 6:7

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Elo over the last year

Matteo MartineauSascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. MartineauS. Gueymard Wayenburg
Hard court21–1953%27–1466%
Clay8–1240%11–1542%

Head to head

M. Martineau 1–1 S. Gueymard Wayenburg

  • 21/04/25Winner: Matteo Martineau5:7 6:4 6:0
  • 25/01/25Winner: Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg6:7 6:3 3:6

Road through the tournament

Matteo Martineau

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg