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Challenger NingboChallenger 75Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Binda vs Hu 2:0: result and our tips

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Alexander BindaATP #466Elo 1534hard 1523
2:0finalrebuilt6:4 6:2
Jia HuElo 1406hard 1403

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Alexander Binda85%
Jia Hu15%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Binda65%
2:1 A. Binda20%
2:1 J. Hu7%
2:0 J. Hu8%

First set

Alexander Binda78%
Jia Hu22%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes27%
no73%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 55%market (no margin): 53%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.582%18%88%
17.572%28%79%
18.563%37%71%
19.554%46%62%
20.545%55%54%
21.540%60%49%
22.533%67%42%

Sample: 2,108 matches

Games handicap

A. Binda −5.544%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes26%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

Tip worked out after the fact from pre-match data — the board was not published yet at the time.

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 20.5in · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Alexander BindaJia Hu
1Aces1
5Double faults3
66%First serves in50%
69%First-serve points won53%
39%Second-serve points won41%
5/10Break points converted2/11
7/9Service games held4/9
58%Service points won47%
53%Return points won42%
79Total points won62

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. BindaTourJ. Hu
Service points won60%62%—
Return points won40%38%—
Service games held71%76%—
Breaks of serve29%24%—
Aces per service game0.36—
Double faults per game0.30—
Sets with a tie-break12%—
Tie-breaks won5/12—
Wins in straight sets76%—
Matches in the sample44—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alexander Binda

  • 18/10/26LYaroslav Demin#596Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q13:6 6:7
  • 29/09/26LAdam Walton#98Challenger Jingshan · Q21:6 0:6
  • 28/09/26WSidharth Rawat#656Challenger Jingshan · Q16:3 6:3
  • 18/09/26LBernard Tomic#179Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · QF3:6 4:6
  • 17/09/26WFajing Sun#292Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R164:6 7:6 6:4
  • 15/09/26WAoran WangChallenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R326:3 6:4
  • 14/09/26WKosuke Ogura#794Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q26:4 4:6 6:4
  • 13/09/26WKaito UesugiChallenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q17:6 6:3
  • 08/09/26LTung-Lin Wu#375Challenger Shanghai · R326:7 2:6
  • 07/09/26WMikalai Haliak#902Challenger Shanghai · Q26:3 6:1

Jia Hu

  • 23/09/26LVit Kopriva#64ATP Chengdu · R324:6 5:7
  • 25/08/24LMakoto OchiChallenger Zhangjiagang · Q11:6 2:6

Elo over the last year

Alexander BindaJia Hu

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. BindaJ. Hu
Hard court18–2047%0–10%
Clay3–350%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.