Challenger MaiaChallenger 125Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Blanch vs Karol 1:2: result and our tips

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Dali BlanchATP #325Elo 1614clay 1610
1:2final3:6 6:3 3:6
Milos KarolATP #583Elo 1532clay 1509

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Dali Blanch64%
Milos Karol36%

Elo: D. Blanch 64% · M. Karol 36%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Blanch42%
2:1 D. Blanch23%
2:1 M. Karol15%
2:0 M. Karol20%

First set

Dali Blanch61%
Milos Karol39%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%68%
19.565%35%59%
20.558%42%52%
21.552%48%47%
22.545%55%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.538%62%34%

Sample: 4,633 matches

Games handicap

Dali Blanch −3.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes31%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 21.5in · 27 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Dali BlanchMilos Karol
5Aces4
3Double faults6
56%First serves in54%
78%First-serve points won73%
47%Second-serve points won50%
2/8Break points converted3/6
10/13Service games held12/14
64%Service points won62%
38%Return points won36%
82Total points won85

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. BlanchTourM. Karol
Service points won61%62%65%
Return points won43%38%36%
Service games held74%76%82%
Breaks of serve33%24%20%
Aces per service game0.410.88
Double faults per game0.280.36
Sets with a tie-break15%25%
Tie-breaks won11/227/19
Wins in straight sets74%64%
Matches in the sample6231

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Dali Blanch

Milos Karol

Elo over the last year

Dali BlanchMilos Karol

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. BlanchM. Karol
Hard court7–944%8–753%
Clay28–1861%6–1038%

Head to head

They have not met yet.