Challenger BrestChallenger 125Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Blanchet vs Hamza Reguig 2:0: result and our tips

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Ugo BlanchetATP #344Elo 1660hard 1677
2:0final6:3 6:1
Samir Hamza ReguigATP #723Elo 1525hard 1534

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Ugo Blanchet96%
Samir Hamza Reguig4%

Elo: U. Blanchet 70% · S. Hamza Reguig 31%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 U. Blanchet82%
2:1 U. Blanchet13%
2:1 S. Hamza Reguig2%
2:0 S. Hamza Reguig3%

First set

Ugo Blanchet88%
Samir Hamza Reguig12%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes15%
no85%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 17.5 · 50%market (no margin): 53%

The 17.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 18.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
14.583%17%97%
15.572%28%94%
16.561%39%88%
17.550%50%80%
18.540%60%71%
19.532%68%63%
20.526%74%55%

Sample: 1,017 matches

Games handicap

Ugo Blanchet −6.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes14%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 17.5out · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Ugo BlanchetSamir Hamza Reguig
2Aces0
—Double faults—
63%First serves in63%
75%First-serve points won59%
74%Second-serve points won29%
4/5Break points converted0/3
8/8Service games held4/8
75%Service points won48%
52%Return points won26%
62Total points won35

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

U. BlanchetTourS. Hamza Reguig
Service points won64%62%58%
Return points won35%38%43%
Service games held80%76%65%
Breaks of serve18%24%32%
Aces per service game0.460.27
Double faults per game0.240.29
Sets with a tie-break22%6%
Tie-breaks won12/262/2
Wins in straight sets59%63%
Matches in the sample5115

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Ugo Blanchet

Samir Hamza Reguig

  • 10/09/26LJay Friend#272Challenger Istanbul 3 · R162:6 1:6
  • 08/09/26WEmirhan BulutChallenger Istanbul 3 · R326:4 6:2
  • 07/09/26WBenjamin Hassan#497Challenger Istanbul 3 · Q27:6 6:2
  • 06/09/26WMaxim Zhukov#775Challenger Istanbul 3 · Q17:6 3:6 1:0
  • 30/08/26LAleksandar TolevChallenger Plovdiv 3 · Q13:6 7:5 4:6
  • 26/07/26LNorbert Gombos#362Challenger Liberec · Q10:6 0:2
  • 07/07/26LOlle Wallin#413Challenger Iasi · R324:6 1:6
  • 06/07/26WAlex Marti Pujolras#484Challenger Iasi · Q26:2 2:6 6:4
  • 05/07/26WMatei Marius PartalChallenger Iasi · Q16:3 6:1
  • 23/04/26LHamish Stewart#411Challenger Abidjan · R160:6 4:6

Elo over the last year

Ugo BlanchetSamir Hamza Reguig

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

U. BlanchetS. Hamza Reguig
Hard court19–1950%6–460%
Clay3–827%2–340%
Grass0–20%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.