ATP Lyon250Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Blanchet vs Budkov Kjaer 1:2: result and our tips

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Ugo BlanchetATP #344Elo 1671hard 1691
1:2final6:3 1:6 3:6
Nicolai Budkov KjaerATP #187Elo 1764hard 1764

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Ugo Blanchet36%
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer64%

Elo: U. Blanchet 40% · N. Budkov Kjaer 60%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 U. Blanchet22%
2:1 U. Blanchet16%
2:1 N. Budkov Kjaer22%
2:0 N. Budkov Kjaer40%

First set

Ugo Blanchet41%
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer59%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 52%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.574%26%68%
20.566%34%60%
21.560%40%54%
22.552%48%46%
23.545%55%39%
24.541%59%38%
25.538%62%35%

Sample: 5,611 matches

Games handicap

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer −2.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes45%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 22.0in · 25 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Ugo BlanchetNicolai Budkov Kjaer
5Aces4
6Double faults1
51%First serves in73%
75%First-serve points won67%
37%Second-serve points won62%
2/10Break points converted5/11
8/13Service games held10/12
56%Service points won65%
35%Return points won44%
71Total points won85

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

U. BlanchetTourN. Budkov Kjaer
Service points won64%62%62%
Return points won35%38%38%
Service games held80%76%76%
Breaks of serve18%24%24%
Aces per service game0.460.39
Double faults per game0.230.22
Sets with a tie-break22%16%
Tie-breaks won12/2611/25
Wins in straight sets59%52%
Matches in the sample5166

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Ugo Blanchet

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Elo over the last year

Ugo BlanchetNicolai Budkov Kjaer

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

U. BlanchetN. Budkov Kjaer
Hard court19–1950%22–2052%
Clay3–827%9–950%
Grass0–20%2–433%

Head to head

They have not met yet.