Challenger RoanneChallenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Paul vs Budkov Kjaer 0:2: result and our tips

·

Jakub PaulElo 1664hard 1627
0:2final4:6 5:7
Nicolai Budkov KjaerATP #152Elo 1740hard 1741

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jakub Paul18%
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer82%

Elo: J. Paul 34% · N. Budkov Kjaer 66%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Paul9%
2:1 J. Paul8%
2:1 N. Budkov Kjaer21%
2:0 N. Budkov Kjaer62%

First set

Jakub Paul24%
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer76%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes29%
no71%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 53%market (no margin): 52%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.574%26%79%
18.565%35%71%
19.556%44%62%
20.548%53%54%
21.542%58%49%
22.535%65%42%
23.531%70%37%

Sample: 2,553 matches

Games handicap

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer −4.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes27%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.0out · 22 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Jakub PaulNicolai Budkov Kjaer
2Aces8
0Double faults3
73%First serves in66%
64%First-serve points won80%
45%Second-serve points won32%
2/8Break points converted4/8
7/11Service games held9/11
59%Service points won64%
37%Return points won41%
71Total points won78

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. PaulTourN. Budkov Kjaer
Service points won60%62%62%
Return points won38%38%37%
Service games held74%76%76%
Breaks of serve24%24%23%
Aces per service game0.220.39
Double faults per game0.100.22
Sets with a tie-break10%15%
Tie-breaks won3/410/23
Wins in straight sets63%47%
Matches in the sample1763

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jakub Paul

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Elo over the last year

Jakub PaulNicolai Budkov Kjaer

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. PaulN. Budkov Kjaer
Hard court3–443%19–2049%
Clay5–550%9–950%
Grass0–02–433%

Head to head

J. Paul 0–1 N. Budkov Kjaer

  • 12/05/26Winner: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer7:6 1:6 4:6

Road through the tournament

Jakub Paul

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

First match in this tournament.