Challenger RoanneChallenger 125Qualifying round 2hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Massard vs Paul 0:2: result and our tips

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Loann MassardATP #768Elo 1432hard 1453
0:2final5:7 5:7
Jakub PaulElo 1656hard 1615

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Loann Massard38%
Jakub Paul62%

Elo: L. Massard 28% · J. Paul 72%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Massard22%
2:1 L. Massard16%
2:1 J. Paul22%
2:0 J. Paul40%

First set

Loann Massard41%
Jakub Paul59%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 53%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%71%
19.564%36%62%
20.557%43%54%
21.552%49%49%
22.545%55%42%
23.540%60%37%
24.538%62%35%

Sample: 5,692 matches

Games handicap

Jakub Paul −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes30%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 21.5in · 24 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Loann MassardJakub Paul
1Aces4
3Double faults2
65%First serves in63%
74%First-serve points won73%
52%Second-serve points won64%
1/5Break points converted3/6
9/12Service games held11/12
67%Service points won70%
30%Return points won33%
67Total points won75

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. MassardTourJ. Paul
Service points won61%62%60%
Return points won40%38%39%
Service games held73%76%73%
Breaks of serve26%24%24%
Aces per service game0.410.21
Double faults per game0.180.09
Sets with a tie-break19%11%
Tie-breaks won2/43/4
Wins in straight sets50%57%
Matches in the sample916

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Loann Massard

Jakub Paul

Elo over the last year

Loann MassardJakub Paul

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. MassardJ. Paul
Hard court4–450%2–433%
Clay0–10%5–550%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Loann Massard

Jakub Paul