Challenger RoanneChallenger 125Semifinalhard, indoorbest of three sets

Budkov Kjaer vs Martineau 0:2: result and our tips

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Nicolai Budkov KjaerATP #187Elo 1789hard 1791
0:2final5:7 6:7(4)
Matteo MartineauATP #243Elo 1640hard 1660

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won75%

Where the number comes from: market alone 72% → with the players' profiles 75%

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Budkov Kjaer 14 of 20, Martineau 18 of 20 (tour average 71%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: Budkov KjaerLost72%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 72%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Budkov Kjaer won 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer72%
Matteo Martineau28%

Elo: N. Budkov Kjaer 68% · M. Martineau 32%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 N. Budkov Kjaer50%
2:1 N. Budkov Kjaer22%
2:1 M. Martineau12%
2:0 M. Martineau16%

First set

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer67%
Matteo Martineau34%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 55%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.575%25%71%
19.566%34%62%
20.558%42%54%
21.552%48%49%
22.545%55%42%
23.539%61%37%
24.536%64%35%

Sample: 4,325 matches

Games handicap

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer −3.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes36%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.5out · 25 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Nicolai Budkov KjaerMatteo Martineau
2Aces14
1Double faults2
68%First serves in71%
72%First-serve points won84%
52%Second-serve points won78%
0/0Break points converted1/3
11/12Service games held12/12
65%Service points won82%
18%Return points won35%
62Total points won78

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

N. Budkov KjaerTourM. Martineau
Service points won62%62%63%
Return points won38%38%36%
Service games held76%76%79%
Breaks of serve24%24%20%
Aces per service game0.400.52
Double faults per game0.220.32
Sets with a tie-break15%26%
Tie-breaks won11/2418/38
Wins in straight sets52%50%
Matches in the sample6561

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

  • 16/10/26WHugo Gaston#93Challenger Roanne · QF6:1 7:6
  • 15/10/26WMoise Kouame#194Challenger Roanne · R166:4 6:2
  • 13/10/26WJakub Paul#993Challenger Roanne · R326:4 7:5
  • 01/10/26LFelix Balshaw#186Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R165:7 6:4 6:7
  • 29/09/26WYanis Ghazouani Durand#527Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R326:3 6:2
  • 22/09/26LBilly Harris#249Challenger Saint Tropez · R326:3 3:6 5:7
  • 12/09/26LTitouan Droguet#69Challenger Cassis · SF7:6 2:6 4:6
  • 11/09/26WMoez Echargui#348Challenger Cassis · QF6:7 7:5 6:1
  • 10/09/26WYanis Ghazouani Durand#527Challenger Cassis · R166:1 7:6
  • 08/09/26WFelix Balshaw#186Challenger Cassis · R326:4 6:4

Matteo Martineau

Elo over the last year

Nicolai Budkov KjaerMatteo Martineau

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

N. Budkov KjaerM. Martineau
Hard court22–1954%22–1954%
Clay9–950%8–1240%
Grass2–433%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Matteo Martineau

See also