Bobichon vs Kelm 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Bobichon: 9 matches in a row without a deciding set
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. Bobichon 83% · Y. Kelm 17%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 67% | 33% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 59% | 41% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 54% | 46% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 47% | 53% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 5,779 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 21.5in · 30 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Matisse Bobichon | Yannik Kelm | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Aces | 1 |
| 1 | Double faults | 1 |
| 61% | First serves in | 60% |
| 70% | First-serve points won | 73% |
| 56% | Second-serve points won | 47% |
| 3/6 | Break points converted | 2/10 |
| 13/15 | Service games held | 12/15 |
| 65% | Service points won | 63% |
| 37% | Return points won | 35% |
| 99 | Total points won | 94 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Bobichon | Tour | Y. Kelm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 60% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 80% | 76% | 71% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 23% |
| Aces per service game | 0.49 | 0.32 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.30 | 0.29 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 0% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 3/6 | 0/0 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | — | |
| Matches in the sample | 21 | 3 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Matisse Bobichon
- 15/10/26LFelix Balshaw#178Challenger Roanne · R163:6 4:6
- 14/10/26WBilly Harris#252Challenger Roanne · R327:5 7:6
- 27/09/26LDurasovic#485Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q14:6 4:6
- 18/09/26LTristan Schoolkate#141Challenger Rennes · QF2:6 1:6
- 17/09/26WAdrian Mannarino#73Challenger Rennes · R166:3 7:5
- 15/09/26WEliakim Coulibaly#376Challenger Rennes · R326:4 6:4
- 14/09/26WJustin Boulais#428Challenger Rennes · Q27:6 6:3
- 13/09/26WAlex KobeltChallenger Rennes · Q16:2 6:4
- 08/09/26LJurij Rodionov#137Challenger Cassis · R326:7 1:6
- 07/09/26WJustin Boulais#428Challenger Cassis · Q23:6 7:6 6:3
Yannik Kelm
- 26/04/26LGiuseppe La Vela#533Challenger Shymkent 2 · Q13:6 7:5 2:6
- 19/04/26LErgi Kirkin#648Challenger Shymkent · Q14:6 5:7
- 01/02/26LAlec Deckers#549Challenger Koblenz · Q14:6 6:1 2:6
- 19/05/24LYurii Dzhavakian#723Challenger Augsburg · Q14:6 1:6
- 13/04/24LFrancesco Passaro#153ATP Munich · Q13:6 2:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Bobichon | Y. Kelm | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 12–957% | 0–10% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 0–20% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.