WTA 125 SamsunRound of 16hardbest of three sets

Bolkvadze vs Andreescu 0:2: result and our tips

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Mariam BolkvadzeWTA #338Elo 1707hard 1669
0:2final4:6 3:6
Bianca AndreescuWTA #168Elo 1736hard 1716

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Mariam Bolkvadze20%
Bianca Andreescu80%

Elo: M. Bolkvadze 43% · B. Andreescu 57%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Bolkvadze10%
2:1 M. Bolkvadze10%
2:1 B. Andreescu20%
2:0 B. Andreescu60%

First set

Mariam Bolkvadze26%
Bianca Andreescu74%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no70%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.0 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.577%23%79%
17.567%33%70%
18.555%45%60%
19.548%52%53%
20.541%59%46%
21.537%63%42%
22.533%67%37%

Sample: 1,398 matches

Games handicap

Bianca Andreescu −5.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 20.0in · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Mariam BolkvadzeBianca Andreescu
0Aces2
5Double faults0
78%First serves in74%
57%First-serve points won77%
47%Second-serve points won50%
1/3Break points converted4/10
6/10Service games held8/9
55%Service points won70%
30%Return points won45%
54Total points won68

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. BolkvadzeTourB. Andreescu
Service points won55%56%57%
Return points won47%44%42%
Service games held62%63%68%
Breaks of serve47%37%31%
Aces per service game0.070.34
Double faults per game0.520.31
Sets with a tie-break20%10%
Tie-breaks won4/65/8
Wins in straight sets67%60%
Matches in the sample1332

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mariam Bolkvadze

Bianca Andreescu

Elo over the last year

Mariam BolkvadzeBianca Andreescu

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. BolkvadzeB. Andreescu
Hard court5–271%8–1044%
Clay0–04–544%
Grass4–267%3–260%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Mariam Bolkvadze

  • 04/10/26WAlya Naz AltinelWTA 125 Samsun · Q16:1 6:0
  • 05/10/26WMariia Tkacheva#626WTA 125 Samsun · Q24:6 7:6 6:0
  • 07/10/26WLeolia Jeanjean#94WTA 125 Samsun · R326:3 6:1

Bianca Andreescu