Bonzi vs Norrie 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 66% → with the players' profiles 70%
Norrie: 6 matches in a row over 20.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: B. Bonzi 41% · C. Norrie 59%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 70% | 30% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 63% | 37% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 56% | 44% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 49% | 51% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 44% | 56% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 42% | 58% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 37% | 63% | 30% |
Sample: 5,399 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 22.5in · 27 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Benjamin Bonzi | Cameron Norrie | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Aces | 7 |
| 0 | Double faults | 2 |
| 69% | First serves in | 63% |
| 78% | First-serve points won | 64% |
| 50% | Second-serve points won | 48% |
| 3/6 | Break points converted | 2/5 |
| 12/14 | Service games held | 10/13 |
| 69% | Service points won | 58% |
| 42% | Return points won | 31% |
| 93 | Total points won | 74 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| B. Bonzi | Tour | C. Norrie | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 81% | 76% | 82% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 20% |
| Aces per service game | 0.45 | 0.37 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.20 | 0.20 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 20% | 25% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 18/31 | 16/34 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 44% | |
| Matches in the sample | 61 | 51 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Benjamin Bonzi
- 14/10/26LMika Brunold#195Challenger Roanne · R162:6 6:2 4:6
- 12/10/26WHugo Grenier#387Challenger Roanne · R326:7 6:1 6:3
- 28/09/26LAugust Holmgren#258Challenger Porto 2 · R323:6 4:6
- 05/09/26LKaren Khachanov#25ATP US Open · R323:6 2:6 4:6
- 03/09/26WIgnacio Buse#33ATP US Open · R646:2 7:6 6:0
- 01/09/26WAlex Molcan#80ATP US Open · R1286:4 3:6 6:3 6:2
- 28/08/26LIgnacio Buse#33ATP Winston Salem · SF2:6 6:4 1:6
- 27/08/26WBotic Van de Zandschulp#38ATP Winston Salem · QF7:6 6:4
- 26/08/26WRinky Hijikata#86ATP Winston Salem · R166:1 6:1
- 25/08/26WQuentin Halys#46ATP Winston Salem · R322:6 7:6 6:3
Cameron Norrie
- 08/10/26LDalibor Svrcina#119ATP Shanghai · R1283:6 6:3 4:6
- 01/10/26LAlexander Zverev#2ATP Beijing · R326:7 4:6
- 30/08/26LLuca Van Assche#48ATP US Open · R1287:6 2:6 2:6 3:6
- 16/08/26LAlexander Zverev#2ATP Cincinnati · R646:3 3:6 3:6
- 13/08/26WDino Prizmic#95ATP Cincinnati · R1283:6 6:1 6:4
- 09/08/26LArthur Fils#10ATP Montreal · R162:6 6:7
- 06/08/26WAlex de Minaur#8ATP Montreal · R325:7 7:6 6:1
- 05/08/26WIgnacio Buse#33ATP Montreal · R646:3 6:3
- 04/08/26WCamilo Ugo Carabelli#75ATP Montreal · R1287:6 6:4
- 01/08/26LDenis Shapovalov#47ATP Los Cabos · SF3:6 7:5 4:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| B. Bonzi | C. Norrie | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 25–1760% | 22–1658% |
| Clay | 4–640% | 5–645% |
| Grass | 6–367% | 0–20% |
Head to head
B. Bonzi 1–1 C. Norrie
- 18/01/26Winner: Cameron Norrie0:6 7:6 6:4 3:6 4:6
- 09/11/24Winner: Benjamin Bonzi7:6 6:4