Challenger RoanneChallenger 125Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets
Brunold vs Bonzi: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 10h 12mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Mika Brunold30%
Benjamin Bonzi70%
Elo: M. Brunold 30% · B. Bonzi 71%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 M. Brunold17%
2:1 M. Brunold13%
2:1 B. Bonzi22%
2:0 B. Bonzi47%
First set
Mika Brunold35%
Benjamin Bonzi65%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 47%market (no margin): 51%
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 76% | 24% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 67% | 33% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 59% | 41% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 53% | 47% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 47% | 53% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 63% | 35% |
Sample: 4,707 matches
Games handicap
Benjamin Bonzi −3.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes37%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Brunold | Tour | B. Bonzi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 78% | 76% | 81% |
| Breaks of serve | 29% | 24% | 21% |
| Aces per service game | 0.25 | 0.45 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.21 | 0.19 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 21% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 11/17 | 20/33 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 61% | |
| Matches in the sample | 43 | 62 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Mika Brunold
- 12/10/26WMathys DomencChallenger Roanne · R327:6 6:3
- 18/09/26LCarlo Alberto Caniato#318Challenger Biella · QF0:6 6:3 4:6
- 17/09/26WFrancesco Forti#336Challenger Biella · R166:2 6:2
- 15/09/26WMassimo Giunta#390Challenger Biella · R326:3 1:6 7:5
- 13/09/26WJoao Lucas Reis Da Silva#230Challenger Tulln · F6:4 6:3
- 12/09/26WVitaliy Sachko#172Challenger Tulln · SF6:0 6:2
- 11/09/26WGustavo Heide#116Challenger Tulln · QF6:2 6:1
- 10/09/26WFilip Misolic#471Challenger Tulln · R166:1 6:7 6:2
- 08/09/26WMiguel Damas#349Challenger Tulln · R326:3 4:0
- 07/09/26WM. W. Donald#418Challenger Tulln · Q27:5 6:4
Benjamin Bonzi
- 12/10/26WHugo Grenier#269Challenger Roanne · R326:7 6:1 6:3
- 28/09/26LAugust Holmgren#236Challenger Porto 2 · R323:6 4:6
- 05/09/26LKaren Khachanov#27ATP US Open · R323:6 2:6 4:6
- 03/09/26WIgnacio Buse#36ATP US Open · R646:2 7:6 6:0
- 01/09/26WAlex Molcan#84ATP US Open · R1286:4 3:6 6:3 6:2
- 28/08/26LIgnacio Buse#36ATP Winston Salem · SF2:6 6:4 1:6
- 27/08/26WBotic Van de Zandschulp#41ATP Winston Salem · QF7:6 6:4
- 26/08/26WRinky Hijikata#85ATP Winston Salem · R166:1 6:1
- 25/08/26WQuentin Halys#48ATP Winston Salem · R322:6 7:6 6:3
- 24/08/26WKamil Majchrzak#70ATP Winston Salem · R646:4 7:6
Elo over the last year
Mika BrunoldBenjamin Bonzi
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Brunold | B. Bonzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 4–450% | 26–1760% |
| Clay | 24–1169% | 4–640% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 6–367% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Mika Brunold
- 12/10/26WMathys DomencChallenger Roanne · R327:6 6:3
Benjamin Bonzi
- 12/10/26WHugo Grenier#269Challenger Roanne · R326:7 6:1 6:3