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Challenger NingboChallenger 75Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Borisiouk vs Demin 0:2: result and our tips

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Martin BorisioukATP #724Elo 1512hard 1520
0:2final6:7(6) 3:6
Yaroslav DeminATP #596Elo 1409hard 1389

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Martin Borisiouk48%
Yaroslav Demin52%

Elo: M. Borisiouk 68% · Y. Demin 32%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Borisiouk29%
2:1 M. Borisiouk19%
2:1 Y. Demin20%
2:0 Y. Demin32%

First set

Martin Borisiouk48%
Yaroslav Demin52%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 47%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.572%28%62%
20.564%36%54%
21.557%43%49%
22.551%49%42%
23.545%55%37%
24.541%59%35%
25.538%62%32%

Sample: 5,280 matches

Games handicap

Y. Demin −0.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes43%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 22.5out · 22 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Martin BorisioukYaroslav Demin
6Aces0
2Double faults4
51%First serves in65%
77%First-serve points won61%
41%Second-serve points won52%
3/13Break points converted4/8
6/10Service games held8/11
59%Service points won58%
42%Return points won41%
75Total points won79

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. BorisioukTourY. Demin
Service points won68%62%61%
Return points won38%38%36%
Service games held86%76%75%
Breaks of serve22%24%20%
Aces per service game0.660.42
Double faults per game0.270.38
Sets with a tie-break8%17%
Tie-breaks won0/23/4
Wins in straight sets71%80%
Matches in the sample1111

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Martin Borisiouk

  • 06/10/26LOmar Jasika#386Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:4 3:6 5:7
  • 05/10/26WKristjan TammChallenger Wuning 3 · Q26:4 6:4
  • 04/10/26WJumpei YamasakiChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:4 6:2
  • 17/09/26LFlorent Bax#290Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R163:6 6:7
  • 15/09/26WDominik Palan#603Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R325:7 6:2 7:5
  • 14/09/26WDong Ju Kim#732Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q26:4 6:3
  • 13/09/26WYuta Kawahashi#760Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q16:3 4:0
  • 08/09/26LKoki Matsuda#463Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R325:7 6:7
  • 07/09/26WEthan CookChallenger Phan Thiet 3 · Q26:3 6:2
  • 06/09/26WTakuya Kumasaka#670Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · Q16:4 6:2

Yaroslav Demin

  • 20/10/26LAkira Santillan#294Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:4 4:6 3:6
  • 19/10/26WKasidit Samrej#368Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q26:4 6:2
  • 18/10/26WAlexander Binda#466Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:3 7:6
  • 07/10/26LAkira Santillan#294Challenger Wuning 3 · R163:6 3:6
  • 05/10/26WBeibit Zhukayev#528Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:4 6:4
  • 13/09/26LHanyi Liu#827Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q13:6 3:6
  • 02/08/26LSidharth Rawat#656Challenger Istanbul 2 · Q14:6 2:6
  • 19/07/26LConstantin Bittoun Kouzmine#494Challenger Segovia · Q15:7 3:6
  • 02/04/26LJonas Forejtek#303Challenger Menorca · R321:6 6:7
  • 01/04/26WChristoph Negritu#726Challenger Menorca · Q27:6 7:5

Elo over the last year

Martin BorisioukYaroslav Demin

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. BorisioukY. Demin
Hard court7–464%3–538%
Clay0–02–167%

Head to head

They have not met yet.