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WTA 125 CuritibaRound of 32claybest of three sets

Bosio vs Ortenzi 0:2: result and our tips

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Victoria BosioWTA #316Elo 1458clay 1462
0:2final5:7 2:6
Jazmin OrtenziWTA #173Elo 1557clay 1581

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won62%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Bosio: 7 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 21.5Lost44%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Ortenzi: 3 matches in a row over 21.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Victoria Bosio24%
Jazmin Ortenzi76%

Elo: V. Bosio 34% · J. Ortenzi 66%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 V. Bosio11%
2:1 V. Bosio11%
2:1 J. Ortenzi22%
2:0 J. Ortenzi56%

First set

Victoria Bosio30%
Jazmin Ortenzi70%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 19.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.579%21%77%
17.569%31%68%
18.560%41%59%
19.551%49%52%
20.545%55%45%
21.541%59%42%
22.537%63%37%

Sample: 1,116 matches

Games handicap

J. Ortenzi −5.545%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 19.5in · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Victoria BosioJazmin Ortenzi
1Aces0
4Double faults6
66%First serves in68%
54%First-serve points won52%
19%Second-serve points won45%
5/7Break points converted8/20
2/10Service games held5/10
42%Service points won49%
51%Return points won58%
58Total points won69

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

V. BosioTourJ. Ortenzi
Service points won55%56%53%
Return points won45%44%46%
Service games held60%63%57%
Breaks of serve38%37%44%
Aces per service game0.190.07
Double faults per game0.300.27
Sets with a tie-break18%10%
Tie-breaks won2/54/7
Wins in straight sets60%69%
Matches in the sample1231

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Victoria Bosio

  • 13/09/26LXiaodi You#208WTA Sao Paulo · Q23:6 5:7
  • 12/09/26WLizette Cabrera#288WTA Sao Paulo · Q17:5 6:7 6:3
  • 13/07/26LVeronika Erjavec#161WTA 125 Kitzbuhel · R323:6 7:6 4:6
  • 12/07/26WKarina KovalchukWTA 125 Kitzbuhel · Q16:3 6:4
  • 09/06/26LNuria Brancaccio#226WTA 125 Modena · R324:6 5:7
  • 07/06/26WFrancesca Pace#279WTA 125 Modena · Q16:2 5:7 7:6
  • 01/06/26LTatiana Pieri#477WTA 125 Foggia · R320:6 6:2 2:6
  • 16/05/26LAlana Smith#484WTA Rabat · Q11:6 3:6
  • 12/05/26LDayana Yastremska#97WTA 125 Parma · R326:7 3:6
  • 11/05/26WElena BocchiWTA 125 Parma · Q16:2 6:4

Jazmin Ortenzi

  • 14/10/26LPolona Hercog#206WTA 125 Lisbon · R163:6 6:3 3:6
  • 12/10/26WBarbora Palicova#181WTA 125 Lisbon · R326:4 7:6
  • 17/09/26LPaula Badosa#61WTA Sao Paulo · R166:4 2:6 2:6
  • 16/09/26WChloe Paquet#312WTA Sao Paulo · R326:3 6:2
  • 09/09/26LMary Stoiana#113WTA 125 Barranquilla · R323:6 2:6
  • 24/08/26LHimeno Sakatsume#114WTA US Open · Q13:6 1:6
  • 23/06/26LKatherine Sebov#230WTA Wimbledon · Q16:4 3:6 2:6
  • 18/06/26LElizara Yaneva#139WTA 125 Brescia · R162:6 1:6
  • 16/06/26WFrancesca Pace#279WTA 125 Brescia · R326:3 6:3
  • 08/06/26LKaitlin Quevedo#86WTA 125 Modena · R323:6 4:6

Elo over the last year

Victoria BosioJazmin Ortenzi

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

V. BosioJ. Ortenzi
Hard court1–150%2–433%
Clay4–640%14–1058%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.