WTA 125 RoveretoRound of 32hardbest of three sets

Boskovic vs Selekhmeteva 2:0: result and our tips

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Lea BoskovicWTA #334Elo 1554hard 1575
2:0final6:2 7:6(2)
Oksana SelekhmetevaWTA #100Elo 1663hard 1667

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Selekhmeteva: 7 matches in a row over 18.5 games; Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Boskovic 6 of 10, Selekhmeteva 16 of 20 (tour average 61%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 21.5Lost40%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Boskovic 3 of 10, Selekhmeteva 13 of 20 (tour average 41%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Lea Boskovic26%
Oksana Selekhmeteva74%

Elo: L. Boskovic 37% · O. Selekhmeteva 63%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Boskovic16%
2:1 L. Boskovic14%
2:1 O. Selekhmeteva20%
2:0 O. Selekhmeteva51%

First set

Lea Boskovic34%
Oksana Selekhmeteva66%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 19.5 · 55%market (no margin): 51%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.574%26%70%
18.563%37%61%
19.555%45%53%
20.548%53%46%
21.541%59%41%
22.537%63%37%
23.533%67%33%

Sample: 1,717 matches

Games handicap

Oksana Selekhmeteva −4.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 19.5in · 21 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Lea BoskovicOksana Selekhmeteva
0Aces1
0Double faults4
66%First serves in59%
81%First-serve points won55%
41%Second-serve points won64%
3/6Break points converted1/2
9/10Service games held7/10
64%Service points won59%
41%Return points won36%
68Total points won61

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. BoskovicTourO. Selekhmeteva
Service points won57%56%55%
Return points won44%44%46%
Service games held67%63%61%
Breaks of serve36%37%39%
Aces per service game0.130.16
Double faults per game0.280.68
Sets with a tie-break17%11%
Tie-breaks won2/46/15
Wins in straight sets50%48%
Matches in the sample1056

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Lea Boskovic

Oksana Selekhmeteva

Elo over the last year

Lea BoskovicOksana Selekhmeteva

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. BoskovicO. Selekhmeteva
Hard court2–0100%20–1361%
Clay4–450%7–1139%
Grass0–02–340%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Lea Boskovic

Oksana Selekhmeteva

First match in this tournament.