Challenger RoanneChallenger 125Qualifying round 2hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Brady vs Donnet 0:2: result and our tips

·

Patrick BradyATP #715Elo 1607hard 1592
0:2final4:6 5:7
Etienne DonnetATP #817Elo 1485hard 1506

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Patrick Brady73%
Etienne Donnet27%

Elo: P. Brady 62% · E. Donnet 38%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Brady51%
2:1 P. Brady22%
2:1 E. Donnet12%
2:0 E. Donnet15%

First set

Patrick Brady67%
Etienne Donnet33%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 50%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%71%
19.564%36%62%
20.556%44%54%
21.550%50%49%
22.543%57%42%
23.537%63%37%
24.535%65%35%

Sample: 4,173 matches

Games handicap

Patrick Brady −3.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes33%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 22 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Patrick BradyEtienne Donnet
1Aces7
1Double faults1
84%First serves in66%
69%First-serve points won68%
30%Second-serve points won67%
1/4Break points converted3/5
8/11Service games held10/11
63%Service points won68%
32%Return points won38%
63Total points won72

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. BradyTourE. Donnet
Service points won64%62%—
Return points won38%38%—
Service games held79%76%—
Breaks of serve26%24%—
Aces per service game0.28—
Double faults per game0.18—
Sets with a tie-break14%—
Tie-breaks won6/8—
Wins in straight sets86%—
Matches in the sample24—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Patrick Brady

  • 11/10/26WOleg Prihodko#458Challenger Roanne · Q16:1 6:2
  • 04/10/26LMili Poljicak#286Challenger Villena · Q14:6 6:3 5:7
  • 14/09/26LMax Schoenhaus#293Challenger Rennes · Q26:4 3:6 1:6
  • 13/09/26WToufik Sahtali#575Challenger Rennes · Q16:1 6:2
  • 26/08/26LCharles Broom#268Challenger Roehampton 2 · R164:6 1:6
  • 25/08/26WPatrick Zahraj#511Challenger Roehampton 2 · R326:3 6:2
  • 24/08/26WAndreja Petrovic#614Challenger Roehampton 2 · Q26:1 6:3
  • 23/08/26WAlafia Ayeni#448Challenger Roehampton 2 · Q17:5 6:2
  • 19/08/26LLui Maxted#394Challenger Roehampton · R164:6 6:4 5:7
  • 18/08/26WAlec Deckers#552Challenger Roehampton · R326:4 7:6

Etienne Donnet

  • 11/10/26WAmir Omarkhanov#618Challenger Roanne · Q16:1 7:5
  • 05/10/25LMatteo Martineau#272Challenger Roanne · Q16:7 4:6
  • 28/09/25LAlejandro Manzanera PertusaChallenger Villena · Q15:7 3:6
  • 16/09/25LRodrigo Pacheco Mendez#266Challenger Saint Tropez · R326:3 3:6 2:6
  • 15/09/25WFlorent Bax#302Challenger Saint Tropez · Q27:6 2:6 6:3
  • 14/09/25WEgor GerasimovChallenger Saint Tropez · Q17:5 6:1
  • 04/09/25LJustin Engel#442Challenger Cassis · R166:7 2:6
  • 02/09/25WSascha Gueymard Wayenburg#189Challenger Cassis · R326:4 6:4
  • 15/06/25LMaxence BeaugeChallenger Royan · Q16:2 3:6 5:7
  • 08/06/25LMatthew Dellavedova#283Challenger Lyon · Q13:6 5:7

Elo over the last year

Patrick BradyEtienne Donnet

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. BradyE. Donnet
Hard court11–665%1–0100%
Grass3–443%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Patrick Brady

Etienne Donnet