ATP ShanghaiMasters 1000Round of 64hardbest of three sets

Bu vs Ruud 0:2: result and our tips

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Yunchaokete BuATP #93Elo 1933hard 1896
0:2final1:6 6:7(2)
Casper RuudATP #24Elo 2092hard 2013

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 24.5Won56%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 24.5 games in recent matches: Bu 11 of 20, Ruud 17 of 20 (tour average 62%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 21.5Won36%

Where the number comes from: market alone 40% → with the players' profiles 36%

Under 21.5 games in recent matches: Bu 9 of 20, Ruud 14 of 20 (tour average 46%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Yunchaokete Bu50%
Casper Ruud50%

Elo: Y. Bu 34% · C. Ruud 66%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Y. Bu30%
2:1 Y. Bu20%
2:1 C. Ruud20%
2:0 C. Ruud30%

First set

Yunchaokete Bu50%
Casper Ruud50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 23.0 · 50%market (no margin): 49%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.572%28%59%
21.564%36%54%
22.558%42%45%
23.550%50%39%
24.544%56%38%
25.542%58%34%
26.538%62%30%

Sample: 5,088 matches

Games handicap

Yunchaokete Bu −0.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes52%

tour average 38%

How the forecast did

  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Over 23.0out · 20 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Yunchaokete BuCasper Ruud
10Aces14
1Double faults1
78%First serves in70%
59%First-serve points won75%
56%Second-serve points won71%
0/3Break points converted2/7
7/9Service games held10/10
58%Service points won74%
26%Return points won42%
65Total points won85

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Y. BuTourC. Ruud
Service points won66%62%67%
Return points won36%38%37%
Service games held85%76%85%
Breaks of serve21%24%22%
Aces per service game0.540.49
Double faults per game0.180.19
Sets with a tie-break22%19%
Tie-breaks won14/2810/23
Wins in straight sets75%70%
Matches in the sample5548

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Yunchaokete Bu

Casper Ruud

Elo over the last year

Yunchaokete BuCasper Ruud

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Y. BuC. Ruud
Hard court23–1561%13–1154%
Clay2–250%17–674%
Grass11–285%0–10%

Head to head

Y. Bu 0–1 C. Ruud

  • 26/08/24Winner: Casper Ruud6:7 2:6 2:6

Road through the tournament

Yunchaokete Bu

Casper Ruud

First match in this tournament.