Bublik vs Marozsan: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 11h 30mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: A. Bublik 70% · F. Marozsan 30%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 76% | 24% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 68% | 32% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 60% | 40% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 54% | 46% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 46% | 54% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 38% | 62% | 34% |
Sample: 4,021 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Bublik | Tour | F. Marozsan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 68% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 34% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 87% | 76% | 80% |
| Breaks of serve | 16% | 24% | 17% |
| Aces per service game | 0.88 | 0.37 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.27 | 0.17 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 25% | 22% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 21/37 | 15/26 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 64% | |
| Matches in the sample | 56 | 46 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Alexander Bublik
- 13/10/26LAlexander Zverev#2ATP Shanghai · R166:7 6:4 6:7
- 11/10/26WBrandon Nakashima#17ATP Shanghai · R326:7 6:3 7:6
- 09/10/26WTomáš Macháč#72ATP Shanghai · R646:4 7:6
- 01/10/26LJakub Menšík#16ATP Beijing · R324:6 6:7
- 04/09/26LTommy Paul#15ATP US Open · R324:6 6:3 7:6 1:6 3:6
- 02/09/26WAdrian Mannarino#79ATP US Open · R646:3 6:1 6:1
- 31/08/26WJeffrey John Wolf#216ATP US Open · R1286:4 6:2 3:6 6:1
- 25/07/26LQuentin Halys#46ATP Kitzbuhel · F4:6 6:7
- 24/07/26WTomás Martín Etcheverry#29ATP Kitzbuhel · SF6:3 6:4
- 23/07/26WAlex Molcan#80ATP Kitzbuhel · QF6:3 6:2
Fabian Marozsan
- 20/10/26WTimofey Skatov#201ATP Almaty · R327:5 7:6
- 08/10/26LZachary Svajda#77ATP Shanghai · R1283:6 6:7
- 27/09/26LKyrian Jacquet#85ATP Hangzhou · QF6:7 4:6
- 25/09/26WTaro Daniel#179ATP Hangzhou · R166:7 7:5 7:6
- 24/09/26WAlex Bolt#174ATP Hangzhou · R326:4 6:2
- 02/09/26LMichael Zheng#101ATP US Open · R1284:6 4:6 2:6
- 28/08/26LJames Duckworth#73ATP Winston Salem · QF7:6 2:6 4:6
- 27/08/26WMartin Damm Jr#107ATP Winston Salem · R162:6 6:3 6:3
- 26/08/26WMiomir Kecmanovic#57ATP Winston Salem · R326:3 6:4
- 14/08/26LMichael Zheng#101ATP Cincinnati · R1286:3 1:6 6:7
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Bublik | F. Marozsan | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 21–1166% | 12–1446% |
| Clay | 8–850% | 5–645% |
| Grass | 5–363% | 5–456% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Alexander Bublik
First match in this tournament.
Fabian Marozsan
- 20/10/26WTimofey Skatov#201ATP Almaty · R327:5 7:6