Challenger Santa Cruz 2Challenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets

Bueno vs Zeitune 0:2: result and our tips

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Gonzalo BuenoATP #183Elo 1725clay 1734
0:2final1:6 3:6
Maximo ZeituneATP #561Elo 1573clay 1580

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Gonzalo Bueno61%
Maximo Zeitune39%

Elo: G. Bueno 71% · M. Zeitune 29%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 G. Bueno40%
2:1 G. Bueno22%
2:1 M. Zeitune16%
2:0 M. Zeitune22%

First set

Gonzalo Bueno59%
Maximo Zeitune41%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.570%31%68%
19.562%39%59%
20.555%45%52%
21.549%51%47%
22.543%57%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.537%63%34%

Sample: 4,837 matches

Games handicap

Gonzalo Bueno −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 16 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Gonzalo BuenoMaximo Zeitune
1Aces2
5Double faults1
55%First serves in67%
59%First-serve points won75%
38%Second-serve points won69%
0/3Break points converted4/9
4/8Service games held8/8
49%Service points won73%
27%Return points won51%
39Total points won62

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

G. BuenoTourM. Zeitune
Service points won57%62%64%
Return points won42%38%38%
Service games held67%76%79%
Breaks of serve33%24%25%
Aces per service game0.130.33
Double faults per game0.280.16
Sets with a tie-break9%13%
Tie-breaks won9/147/12
Wins in straight sets64%52%
Matches in the sample6937

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Gonzalo Bueno

Maximo Zeitune

Elo over the last year

Gonzalo BuenoMaximo Zeitune

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

G. BuenoM. Zeitune
Hard court3–350%0–0
Clay36–2658%21–1657%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Gonzalo Bueno

First match in this tournament.

Maximo Zeitune