ATP ShanghaiMasters 1000Round of 64hardbest of three sets

Buse vs Bergs 0:2: result and our tips

·

Ignacio BuseATP #36Elo 1967hard 1900
0:2final0:6 3:6
Zizou BergsATP #39Elo 1933hard 1878

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Ignacio Buse37%
Zizou Bergs63%

Elo: I. Buse 53% · Z. Bergs 47%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 I. Buse22%
2:1 I. Buse17%
2:1 Z. Bergs22%
2:0 Z. Bergs40%

First set

Ignacio Buse41%
Zizou Bergs59%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 50%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.572%28%68%
20.564%36%60%
21.558%42%54%
22.550%50%46%
23.543%57%39%
24.541%59%38%
25.538%62%34%

Sample: 5,598 matches

Games handicap

Zizou Bergs −2.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes42%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 22.5out · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Ignacio BuseZizou Bergs
3Aces3
3Double faults0
71%First serves in67%
54%First-serve points won86%
27%Second-serve points won36%
0/2Break points converted5/9
3/8Service games held7/7
46%Service points won70%
30%Return points won54%
37Total points won58

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

I. BuseTourZ. Bergs
Service points won62%62%64%
Return points won39%38%37%
Service games held76%76%80%
Breaks of serve27%24%23%
Aces per service game0.360.55
Double faults per game0.180.37
Sets with a tie-break16%17%
Tie-breaks won15/266/21
Wins in straight sets46%48%
Matches in the sample6247

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Ignacio Buse

Zizou Bergs

Elo over the last year

Ignacio BuseZizou Bergs

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

I. BuseZ. Bergs
Hard court9–756%9–1439%
Clay25–1563%7–750%
Grass3–350%7–370%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Ignacio Buse

First match in this tournament.

Zizou Bergs