Cadenasso vs Moeller 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 65% → with the players' profiles 60%
Cadenasso: 5 matches in a row over 19.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: G. Cadenasso 40% · M. Moeller 60%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 77% | 23% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 68% | 32% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 60% | 41% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 53% | 47% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 47% | 53% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 58% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 36% |
Sample: 4,403 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 22.0out · 35 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Gianluca Cadenasso | Marvin Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aces | 2 |
| 2 | Double faults | 7 |
| 63% | First serves in | 63% |
| 71% | First-serve points won | 65% |
| 48% | Second-serve points won | 50% |
| 4/14 | Break points converted | 4/9 |
| 13/17 | Service games held | 13/17 |
| 63% | Service points won | 59% |
| 41% | Return points won | 38% |
| 121 | Total points won | 116 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| G. Cadenasso | Tour | M. Moeller | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 43% | 38% | 41% |
| Service games held | 70% | 76% | 77% |
| Breaks of serve | 34% | 24% | 30% |
| Aces per service game | 0.25 | 0.28 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.23 | 0.21 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | 15% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/9 | 12/16 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 59% | |
| Matches in the sample | 42 | 46 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Gianluca Cadenasso
- 15/10/26WSvyatoslav Gulin#545Challenger Catania · R167:5 6:4
- 13/10/26WKai Wehnelt#631Challenger Catania · R326:7 6:3 6:4
- 07/10/26LMassimo Giunta#365Challenger Palermo · R166:7 5:7
- 06/10/26WFilippo Moroni#811Challenger Palermo · R323:6 6:4 6:3
- 02/10/26LVitaliy Sachko#175Challenger Bari · QF6:4 2:6 0:3
- 30/09/26WLorenzo Angelini#552Challenger Bari · R165:7 6:3 6:0
- 29/09/26WBenito Sanchez Martinez#895Challenger Bari · R326:3 6:1
- 22/09/26LM. W. Donald#416Challenger Genoa 2 · R323:6 6:4 5:7
- 15/09/26LFrancesco Forti#329Challenger Biella · R321:6 5:7
- 22/06/26LFederico Cina#135ATP Wimbledon · Q13:6 2:6
Marvin Moeller
- 15/10/26WCarlo Alberto Caniato#314Challenger Catania · R166:4 3:6 6:2
- 13/10/26WCarlos Sanchez Jover#325Challenger Catania · R327:6 6:3
- 09/10/26LMatej Dodig#138Challenger Braga · QF2:6 3:6
- 08/10/26WRyan Nijboer#383Challenger Braga · R166:3 6:3
- 07/10/26WTiago Torres#377Challenger Braga · R326:4 6:4
- 26/09/26LLuka Mikrut#245Challenger Genoa 2 · SF3:6 6:3 6:7
- 25/09/26WDali Blanch#320Challenger Genoa 2 · QF6:3 4:6 6:3
- 23/09/26WFederico Arnaboldi#469Challenger Genoa 2 · R166:4 6:4
- 22/09/26WStefano Travaglia#167Challenger Genoa 2 · R326:4 4:6 6:2
- 17/09/26LMarco Cecchinato#164Challenger Szczecin · R166:7 7:6 2:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| G. Cadenasso | M. Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–0 | 6–460% |
| Clay | 23–1856% | 26–1072% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Gianluca Cadenasso
- 13/10/26WKai Wehnelt#631Challenger Catania · R326:7 6:3 6:4
- 15/10/26WSvyatoslav Gulin#545Challenger Catania · R167:5 6:4
Marvin Moeller
- 13/10/26WCarlos Sanchez Jover#325Challenger Catania · R327:6 6:3
- 15/10/26WCarlo Alberto Caniato#314Challenger Catania · R166:4 3:6 6:2