Challenger CataniaChallenger 50Round of 16claybest of three sets
Caniato vs Moeller: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 3hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Carlo Alberto Caniato69%
Marvin Moeller31%
Elo: C. Caniato 46% · M. Moeller 54%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 C. Caniato46%
2:1 C. Caniato23%
2:1 M. Moeller14%
2:0 M. Moeller17%
First set
Carlo Alberto Caniato64%
Marvin Moeller36%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%
Total games
Expected total: 23.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 74% | 26% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 65% | 35% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 57% | 43% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 52% | 48% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 45% | 55% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 63% | 34% |
Sample: 4,021 matches
Games handicap
Carlo Alberto Caniato −3.552%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes32%
tour average 27%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| C. Caniato | Tour | M. Moeller | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 41% |
| Service games held | 83% | 76% | 77% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 30% |
| Aces per service game | 0.42 | 0.28 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.22 | 0.21 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 19% | 15% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 6/19 | 12/16 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 61% | |
| Matches in the sample | 45 | 45 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Carlo Alberto Caniato
- 13/10/26WDaniel Siniakov#519Challenger Catania · R326:3 6:2
- 08/10/26LFrancesco Passaro#229Challenger Palermo · R166:4 3:6 4:6
- 06/10/26WMax Wiskandt#388Challenger Palermo · R326:2 6:3
- 27/09/26LLuka Mikrut#167Challenger Genoa 2 · F4:6 5:7
- 26/09/26WFrancesco Forti#336Challenger Genoa 2 · SF6:2 6:4
- 25/09/26WJay Clarke#240Challenger Genoa 2 · QF6:0 2:0
- 24/09/26WTom Gentzsch#164Challenger Genoa 2 · R166:3 5:7 7:5
- 22/09/26WLorenzo BertoChallenger Genoa 2 · R326:1 7:5
- 20/09/26WAlejandro Moro Canas#233Challenger Biella · F7:6 6:4
- 19/09/26WAlex Barrena#224Challenger Biella · SF6:3 6:2
Marvin Moeller
- 13/10/26WCarlos Sanchez Jover#335Challenger Catania · R327:6 6:3
- 09/10/26LMatej Dodig#174Challenger Braga · QF2:6 3:6
- 08/10/26WRyan Nijboer#417Challenger Braga · R166:3 6:3
- 07/10/26WTiago Torres#365Challenger Braga · R326:4 6:4
- 26/09/26LLuka Mikrut#167Challenger Genoa 2 · SF3:6 6:3 6:7
- 25/09/26WDali Blanch#325Challenger Genoa 2 · QF6:3 4:6 6:3
- 23/09/26WFederico Arnaboldi#478Challenger Genoa 2 · R166:4 6:4
- 22/09/26WStefano Travaglia#173Challenger Genoa 2 · R326:4 4:6 6:2
- 17/09/26LMarco Cecchinato#163Challenger Szczecin · R166:7 7:6 2:6
- 15/09/26WDaniel Michalski#256Challenger Szczecin · R326:2 6:4
Elo over the last year
Carlo Alberto CaniatoMarvin Moeller
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| C. Caniato | M. Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 1–420% | 6–460% |
| Clay | 24–1660% | 25–1071% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Carlo Alberto Caniato
- 13/10/26WDaniel Siniakov#519Challenger Catania · R326:3 6:2
Marvin Moeller
- 13/10/26WCarlos Sanchez Jover#335Challenger Catania · R327:6 6:3