Challenger CataniaChallenger 50Round of 32claybest of three sets

Sanchez Jover vs Moeller 0:2: result and our tips

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Carlos Sanchez JoverATP #335Elo 1646clay 1643
0:2final6:7(5) 3:6
Marvin MoellerATP #239Elo 1761clay 1764

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: MoellerWon62%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Sanchez Jover lost the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches, Moeller won the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 19.5Won59%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 65% → with the players' profiles 59%

    Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Sanchez Jover 17 of 20, Moeller 11 of 20 (tour average 59%)

Long shot
Total Sets: Over 2.5Lost38%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

A third set in recent matches: Sanchez Jover 10 of 20, Moeller 8 of 20 (tour average 34%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Carlos Sanchez Jover34%
Marvin Moeller66%

Elo: C. Sanchez Jover 33% · M. Moeller 67%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Sanchez Jover19%
2:1 C. Sanchez Jover15%
2:1 M. Moeller23%
2:0 M. Moeller43%

First set

Carlos Sanchez Jover38%
Marvin Moeller62%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 54%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%25%76%
18.566%34%68%
19.559%41%59%
20.553%47%52%
21.546%54%47%
22.541%59%40%
23.538%62%36%

Sample: 4,459 matches

Games handicap

Marvin Moeller −3.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 22 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Carlos Sanchez JoverMarvin Moeller
1Aces4
1Double faults3
62%First serves in42%
63%First-serve points won70%
40%Second-serve points won56%
3/5Break points converted4/5
6/10Service games held8/11
55%Service points won62%
38%Return points won46%
63Total points won74

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. Sanchez JoverTourM. Moeller
Service points won58%62%62%
Return points won43%38%41%
Service games held69%76%77%
Breaks of serve33%24%30%
Aces per service game0.170.28
Double faults per game0.220.21
Sets with a tie-break15%15%
Tie-breaks won10/1711/15
Wins in straight sets54%60%
Matches in the sample5044

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Carlos Sanchez Jover

Marvin Moeller

Elo over the last year

Carlos Sanchez JoverMarvin Moeller

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. Sanchez JoverM. Moeller
Hard court0–10%6–460%
Clay28–2157%24–1071%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

See also