Challenger PalermoChallenger 50Quarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying

Milev vs Sanchez Jover 2:0: result and our tips

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Yanaki MilevATP #619Elo 1718clay 1715
2:0final7:5 6:3
Carlos Sanchez JoverATP #335Elo 1660clay 1656

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won57%

Where the number comes from: market alone 65% → with the players' profiles 57%

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Milev 10 of 17, Sanchez Jover 17 of 20 (tour average 59%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Lost38%

Where the number comes from: market alone 41% → with the players' profiles 38%

Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Milev 8 of 17, Sanchez Jover 11 of 20 (tour average 36%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Yanaki Milev37%
Carlos Sanchez Jover63%

Elo: Y. Milev 58% · C. Sanchez Jover 42%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Y. Milev21%
2:1 Y. Milev16%
2:1 C. Sanchez Jover23%
2:0 C. Sanchez Jover41%

First set

Yanaki Milev40%
Carlos Sanchez Jover60%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 56%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.572%28%76%
18.564%36%68%
19.557%43%59%
20.551%49%52%
21.544%56%47%
22.540%60%40%
23.538%62%36%

Sample: 4,705 matches

Games handicap

Carlos Sanchez Jover −3.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes19%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 21 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Yanaki MilevCarlos Sanchez Jover
1Aces1
1Double faults1
62%First serves in66%
70%First-serve points won51%
56%Second-serve points won58%
4/8Break points converted2/7
9/11Service games held6/10
65%Service points won54%
46%Return points won35%
68Total points won53

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Y. MilevTourC. Sanchez Jover
Service points won59%62%58%
Return points won42%38%43%
Service games held72%76%69%
Breaks of serve31%24%33%
Aces per service game0.230.17
Double faults per game0.320.22
Sets with a tie-break5%15%
Tie-breaks won2/210/17
Wins in straight sets46%54%
Matches in the sample1749

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Yanaki Milev

Carlos Sanchez Jover

Elo over the last year

Yanaki MilevCarlos Sanchez Jover

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Y. MilevC. Sanchez Jover
Hard court0–00–10%
Clay11–665%28–2058%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Yanaki Milev

Carlos Sanchez Jover

See also