Caniato vs Passaro 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: C. Caniato 56% · F. Passaro 44%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 71% | 29% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 62% | 38% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 55% | 45% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 49% | 51% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 43% | 57% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 34% |
| 25.5 | 37% | 63% | 30% |
Sample: 4,265 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 22.5out · 29 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | Francesco Passaro | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aces | 5 |
| 4 | Double faults | 4 |
| 64% | First serves in | 52% |
| 65% | First-serve points won | 76% |
| 50% | Second-serve points won | 61% |
| 2/5 | Break points converted | 3/13 |
| 11/14 | Service games held | 13/15 |
| 60% | Service points won | 69% |
| 31% | Return points won | 40% |
| 86 | Total points won | 99 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| C. Caniato | Tour | F. Passaro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 83% | 76% | 80% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 21% |
| Aces per service game | 0.42 | 0.50 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.22 | 0.24 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 20% | 18% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 6/19 | 15/20 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 68% | |
| Matches in the sample | 43 | 47 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Carlo Alberto Caniato
- 06/10/26WMax Wiskandt#388Challenger Palermo · R326:2 6:3
- 27/09/26LLuka Mikrut#167Challenger Genoa 2 · F4:6 5:7
- 26/09/26WFrancesco Forti#336Challenger Genoa 2 · SF6:2 6:4
- 25/09/26WJay Clarke#240Challenger Genoa 2 · QF6:0 2:0
- 24/09/26WTom Gentzsch#164Challenger Genoa 2 · R166:3 5:7 7:5
- 22/09/26WLorenzo BertoChallenger Genoa 2 · R326:1 7:5
- 20/09/26WAlejandro Moro Canas#233Challenger Biella · F7:6 6:4
- 19/09/26WAlex Barrena#224Challenger Biella · SF6:3 6:2
- 18/09/26WMika Brunold#261Challenger Biella · QF6:0 3:6 6:4
- 17/09/26WIzan Almazan Valiente#428Challenger Biella · R166:4 6:3
Francesco Passaro
- 06/10/26WOriol Roca Batalla#312Challenger Palermo · R326:1 7:6
- 22/09/26LAlejandro Juan Mano#593Challenger Genoa 2 · R326:0 6:7 1:6
- 10/09/26LJuan Pablo Varillas#200Challenger Genoa · R165:7 1:6
- 08/09/26WLorenzo Sonego#87Challenger Genoa · R323:6 6:4 6:4
- 01/09/26LJesper De Jong#95ATP US Open · R1286:2 2:6 6:4 3:6 2:6
- 28/08/26WShintaro Mochizuki#123ATP US Open · Q36:4 6:2
- 26/08/26WTom Gentzsch#164ATP US Open · Q27:6 6:4
- 24/08/26WFelix Gill#222ATP US Open · Q17:6 6:2
- 14/08/26LNicolas Kicker#351Challenger Todi · QF4:6 1:6
- 13/08/26WOriol Roca Batalla#312Challenger Todi · R166:4 6:1
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| C. Caniato | F. Passaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 1–420% | 13–862% |
| Clay | 23–1561% | 12–1446% |
Head to head
C. Caniato 0–1 F. Passaro
- 11/08/26Winner: Francesco Passaro6:4 4:6 4:6
Road through the tournament
Carlo Alberto Caniato
- 06/10/26WMax Wiskandt#388Challenger Palermo · R326:2 6:3
Francesco Passaro
- 06/10/26WOriol Roca Batalla#312Challenger Palermo · R326:1 7:6