Challenger CataniaChallenger 50Round of 32claybest of three sets

Caniato vs Siniakov 2:0: result and our tips

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Carlo Alberto CaniatoATP #318Elo 1730clay 1740
2:0final6:3 6:2
Daniel SiniakovATP #519Elo 1507clay 1514

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Set Betting: Caniato 2-0Won59%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Caniato won 2-0 in 10 of the last 20 matches, Siniakov lost 0-2 in 7 of the last 19 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Carlo Alberto Caniato79%
Daniel Siniakov21%

Elo: C. Caniato 79% · D. Siniakov 21%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Caniato56%
2:1 C. Caniato22%
2:1 D. Siniakov10%
2:0 D. Siniakov11%

First set

Carlo Alberto Caniato72%
Daniel Siniakov28%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 52%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%25%76%
18.565%35%68%
19.555%45%59%
20.549%51%52%
21.544%56%47%
22.538%63%40%
23.534%67%36%

Sample: 2,507 matches

Games handicap

Carlo Alberto Caniato −4.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 20.5in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Carlo Alberto CaniatoDaniel Siniakov
3Aces1
0Double faults4
60%First serves in60%
85%First-serve points won67%
72%Second-serve points won50%
3/3Break points converted0/0
9/9Service games held5/8
80%Service points won60%
40%Return points won20%
52Total points won33

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. CaniatoTourD. Siniakov
Service points won66%62%60%
Return points won38%38%41%
Service games held83%76%69%
Breaks of serve24%24%30%
Aces per service game0.420.26
Double faults per game0.220.35
Sets with a tie-break19%21%
Tie-breaks won6/194/10
Wins in straight sets79%56%
Matches in the sample4420

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Carlo Alberto Caniato

Daniel Siniakov

Elo over the last year

Carlo Alberto CaniatoDaniel Siniakov

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. CaniatoD. Siniakov
Hard court1–420%0–10%
Clay23–1659%9–1047%

Head to head

C. Caniato 1–0 D. Siniakov

  • 31/05/26Winner: Carlo Alberto Caniato7:6 6:4

Road through the tournament

Carlo Alberto Caniato

First match in this tournament.

Daniel Siniakov