Castelnuovo vs Kusuhara 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Kusuhara: 9 matches in a row without a deciding set
Other tips
- Match Winner: CastelnuovoWon75%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 75%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Kusuhara lost 7 of the last 10 matches
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: L. Castelnuovo 78% · Y. Kusuhara 22%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
Expected total: 23.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 75% | 25% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 66% | 34% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 57% | 43% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 50% | 50% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 44% | 57% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 37% | 63% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 34% | 66% | 35% |
Sample: 3,556 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
Tip worked out after the fact from pre-match data — the board was not published yet at the time.
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Under 21.5in · 18 games
- Games handicapcovered
Match stats
| Luca Castelnuovo | Yusuke Kusuhara | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Aces | 5 |
| 0 | Double faults | 4 |
| 76% | First serves in | 56% |
| 87% | First-serve points won | 72% |
| 50% | Second-serve points won | 39% |
| 3/9 | Break points converted | 0/0 |
| 9/9 | Service games held | 6/9 |
| 78% | Service points won | 58% |
| 42% | Return points won | 22% |
| 65 | Total points won | 48 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Castelnuovo | Tour | Y. Kusuhara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 60% |
| Return points won | 35% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 72% |
| Breaks of serve | 18% | 24% | 24% |
| Aces per service game | 0.73 | 0.36 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.26 | 0.27 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 13% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 6/13 | 1/4 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 60% | |
| Matches in the sample | 33 | 13 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Luca Castelnuovo
- 20/10/26LKhumoyun Sultanov#416Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:7 6:7
- 19/10/26WMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#408Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q26:3 6:4
- 18/10/26WEgor Pleshivtsev#783Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q17:6 6:4
- 05/10/26LAkira Santillan#294Challenger Wuning 3 · R323:6 6:3 6:7
- 22/09/26LPavel Kotov#169ATP Chengdu · Q17:6 5:7 5:7
- 16/09/26LElias Ymer#227Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R166:7 4:6
- 15/09/26WOmar Jasika#386Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R326:7 6:2 1:0
- 12/09/26LIlya Ivashka#220Challenger Shanghai · SF3:6 4:6
- 11/09/26WJi Sung Nam#821Challenger Shanghai · QF6:4 6:4
- 10/09/26WTung-Lin Wu#375Challenger Shanghai · R167:5 6:4
Yusuke Kusuhara
- 26/04/26LMatthew Dellavedova#237Challenger Jiujiang · Q10:6 3:6
- 12/04/26LLeo Vithoontien#743Challenger Wuning 2 · Q13:6 5:7
- 30/03/26LKoki Matsuda#463Challenger Miyazaki · Q24:6 2:6
- 29/03/26WTsung-Hao Huang#919Challenger Miyazaki · Q15:4
- 22/03/26LTsung-Hao Huang#919Challenger Yokkaichi · Q12:6 2:6
- 02/03/26LMarek Gengel#423Challenger Fujairah · Q12:6 6:7
- 04/01/26LEthan CookChallenger Noumea · Q11:6 5:7
- 21/11/25LAkira Santillan#294Challenger Yokohama · QF3:6 2:6
- 19/11/25WYuta Shimizu#404Challenger Yokohama · R166:3 6:3
- 18/11/25WKokoro Isomura#652Challenger Yokohama · R327:5 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Castelnuovo | Y. Kusuhara | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 12–1446% | 5–838% |
| Clay | 1–325% | 0–10% |
| Grass | 1–233% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.