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Challenger GuayaquilChallenger 75Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Castro vs Rodriguez 0:2: result and our tips

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Sergio CastroElo 1394clay 1398
0:2final1:6 0:6
Lorenzo Joaquin RodriguezATP #519Elo 1508clay 1515

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Sergio Castro2%
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez98%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Castro1%
2:1 S. Castro2%
2:1 L. Rodriguez9%
2:0 L. Rodriguez88%

First set

Sergio Castro6%
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez94%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes10%
no90%

Total games

Expected total: 17.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
13.585%15%98%
14.575%25%96%
15.560%40%91%
16.547%53%84%
17.535%65%76%
18.529%71%68%
19.523%77%59%

Sample: 851 matches

Games handicap

L. Rodriguez −7.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes10%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 16.5in · 13 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Sergio CastroLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
0Aces5
2Double faults1
61%First serves in55%
44%First-serve points won94%
29%Second-serve points won73%
0/0Break points converted5/11
1/6Service games held7/7
39%Service points won85%
15%Return points won61%
22Total points won55

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. CastroTourL. Rodriguez
Service points won—62%60%
Return points won—38%40%
Service games held—76%73%
Breaks of serve—24%28%
Aces per service game—0.21
Double faults per game—0.24
Sets with a tie-break—15%
Tie-breaks won—4/11
Wins in straight sets—80%
Matches in the sample—34

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Sergio Castro

  • 16/11/25LLuis David MartinezChallenger Guayaquil · Q10:6 1:6

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez

  • 12/10/26LThiago Cigarran#590Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q24:6 4:6
  • 11/10/26WAgustin Eduardo Cuellar LorbergChallenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q16:4 6:1
  • 05/10/26LJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo#332Challenger Antofagasta · Q23:6 6:0 3:6
  • 04/10/26WFranco Ribero#685Challenger Antofagasta · Q16:3 6:2
  • 29/09/26LTomas Barrios Vera#156Challenger Curitiba · R321:6 1:6
  • 28/09/26WWilson Leite#695Challenger Curitiba · Q26:1 7:6
  • 27/09/26WBruno MilaniChallenger Curitiba · Q16:0 6:2
  • 22/09/26LJuan Carlos Prado Angelo#198Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R326:7 6:7
  • 21/09/26WBastian Malla#813Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q26:2 1:0
  • 20/09/26WTadeo MeneoChallenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q16:4 6:2

Elo over the last year

Sergio CastroLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. CastroL. Rodriguez
Clay0–10%15–1944%

Head to head

They have not met yet.