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Challenger BrestChallenger 125Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Catry vs Kuzmanov 2:0: result and our tips

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Robin CatryATP #680Elo 1466hard 1480
2:0final6:3 6:2
Dimitar KuzmanovATP #358Elo 1689hard 1666

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: KuzmanovLost70%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Catry lost the first set in 9 of the last 18 matches, Kuzmanov won the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%); Kuzmanov: 4 matches in a row winning the first set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Robin Catry25%
Dimitar Kuzmanov75%

Elo: R. Catry 26% · D. Kuzmanov 75%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 R. Catry14%
2:1 R. Catry11%
2:1 D. Kuzmanov22%
2:0 D. Kuzmanov53%

First set

Robin Catry31%
Dimitar Kuzmanov69%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 54%market (no margin): 53%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.571%30%71%
19.562%38%62%
20.554%46%54%
21.548%52%49%
22.541%59%42%
23.536%64%37%
24.534%66%35%

Sample: 3,898 matches

Games handicap

D. Kuzmanov −4.544%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes31%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 20.5out · 17 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Robin CatryDimitar Kuzmanov
5Aces1
0Double faults3
58%First serves in68%
91%First-serve points won50%
87%Second-serve points won56%
4/11Break points converted0/0
8/8Service games held5/9
89%Service points won52%
48%Return points won11%
59Total points won33

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

R. CatryTourD. Kuzmanov
Service points won64%62%62%
Return points won38%38%41%
Service games held80%76%75%
Breaks of serve23%24%31%
Aces per service game0.580.21
Double faults per game0.440.16
Sets with a tie-break21%9%
Tie-breaks won3/94/13
Wins in straight sets63%67%
Matches in the sample1865

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Robin Catry

  • 12/10/26LNorbert Gombos#370Challenger Roanne · Q26:3 4:6 4:6
  • 11/10/26WGabriel GomezChallenger Roanne · Q16:2 6:3
  • 07/07/26LYi Zhou#256Challenger Nottingham 3 · R324:6 3:6
  • 06/04/26LKarl Poling#453Challenger Mexico City · Q24:6 7:6 1:6
  • 05/04/26WMauricio Schtulmann GascaChallenger Mexico City · Q16:1 6:1
  • 31/03/26LBeibit Zhukayev#528Challenger San Luis Potosi · R326:7 6:1 4:6
  • 24/03/26LTristan Schoolkate#141Challenger Morelia · R326:7 4:6
  • 23/03/26WMateus Alves#410Challenger Morelia · Q26:3 5:7 6:1
  • 23/03/26WRodrigo Alujas#782Challenger Morelia · Q16:3 6:7 7:5
  • 17/03/26LAlejandro HayenChallenger Morelos · R323:6 6:7

Dimitar Kuzmanov

  • 15/10/26LDamir Dzumhur#83Challenger Olbia · R166:0 6:7 0:6
  • 13/10/26WSimone MassellaniChallenger Olbia · R326:1 6:1
  • 12/10/26WM. Cerny#691Challenger Olbia · Q26:3 6:2
  • 11/10/26WRyan Peniston#884Challenger Olbia · Q16:4 6:3
  • 30/09/26LVitaliy Sachko#170Challenger Bari · R163:6 1:6
  • 29/09/26WGeoffrey Blancaneaux#448Challenger Bari · R326:3 6:0
  • 11/09/26LHarold Mayot#233Challenger Istanbul 3 · QF4:6 2:6
  • 09/09/26WVadym Ursu#412Challenger Istanbul 3 · R166:4 7:5
  • 08/09/26WFaris Zakaria#503Challenger Istanbul 3 · R326:1 6:3
  • 03/09/26LMiguel Damas#342Challenger Porto · R165:7 6:3 6:7

Elo over the last year

Robin CatryDimitar Kuzmanov

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

R. CatryD. Kuzmanov
Hard court7–750%13–1252%
Clay1–233%23–1758%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.