Cerúndolo vs Mejia 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: J. Cerúndolo 65% · N. Mejia 35%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 71% | 29% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 63% | 37% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 57% | 43% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 49% | 51% | 45% |
| 23.5 | 42% | 58% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 34% |
Sample: 5,094 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 38%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Under 22.5in · 20 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Juan Manuel Cerúndolo | Nicolas Mejia | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aces | 4 |
| 0 | Double faults | 1 |
| 57% | First serves in | 68% |
| 84% | First-serve points won | 67% |
| 52% | Second-serve points won | 47% |
| 4/7 | Break points converted | 2/5 |
| 8/10 | Service games held | 6/10 |
| 70% | Service points won | 60% |
| 40% | Return points won | 30% |
| 59 | Total points won | 48 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Cerúndolo | Tour | N. Mejia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 79% | 76% | 78% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 25% |
| Aces per service game | 0.42 | 0.45 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.23 | 0.19 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 19% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 13/27 | 15/30 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 53% | |
| Matches in the sample | 62 | 67 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Juan Manuel Cerúndolo
- 30/09/26LYunchaokete Bu#93ATP Beijing · R322:6 7:5 4:6
- 26/09/26LAlejandro Davidovich Fokina#26ATP Chengdu · R164:6 4:6
- 24/09/26WYi Zhou#277ATP Chengdu · R326:4 6:3
- 01/09/26LArthur Gea#56ATP US Open · R1283:6 6:2 6:3 3:6 1:6
- 27/08/26LIgnacio Buse#36ATP Winston Salem · QF6:7 6:4 2:6
- 26/08/26WSebastián Báez#53ATP Winston Salem · R166:2 4:0
- 25/08/26WDhakshineswar Suresh#369ATP Winston Salem · R327:6 6:3
- 18/08/26LFelix Auger-Aliassime#5ATP Cincinnati · R325:7 1:6
- 16/08/26WArthur Rinderknech#33ATP Cincinnati · R644:6 7:6 7:6
- 14/08/26WMark Lajal#149ATP Cincinnati · R1286:4 6:4
Nicolas Mejia
- 06/10/26WMichael Zheng#94ATP Shanghai · Q26:3 6:4
- 05/10/26WChun Hsin Tseng#225ATP Shanghai · Q16:4
- 22/09/26LUgo Blanchet#305Challenger Saint Tropez · R321:4
- 25/08/26LLiam Draxl#219ATP US Open · Q14:6 7:6 4:6
- 19/08/26LCamilo Ugo Carabelli#77Challenger Cancun · R325:7 4:6
- 14/08/26LAdam Walton#98ATP Cincinnati · R1286:7 0:6
- 13/08/26WHenrique Rocha#106ATP Cincinnati · Q27:5 4:6 6:3
- 12/08/26WJacob Fearnley#96ATP Cincinnati · Q16:3 3:6 6:2
- 05/08/26LLorenzo Musetti#25ATP Montreal · R646:7 2:6
- 03/08/26WMartin Landaluce#73ATP Montreal · R1284:6 6:4 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Cerúndolo | N. Mejia | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 10–953% | 18–2047% |
| Clay | 25–1563% | 17–577% |
| Grass | 2–250% | 5–271% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Juan Manuel Cerúndolo
First match in this tournament.
Nicolas Mejia
- 05/10/26WChun Hsin Tseng#225ATP Shanghai · Q16:4
- 06/10/26WMichael Zheng#94ATP Shanghai · Q26:3 6:4