Cerúndolo vs Svajda 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 59% → with the players' profiles 61%
Svajda: 5 matches in a row over 21.5 games
Other tips
- 1st Set Winner: SvajdaLost56%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Cerundolo lost the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches, Svajda won the first set in 10 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 41% → with the players' profiles 39%
Under 21.5 games in recent matches: Cerundolo 12 of 20, Svajda 11 of 20 (tour average 46%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: J. Cerúndolo 47% · Z. Svajda 53%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 67% | 33% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 61% | 39% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 54% | 46% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 47% | 53% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 36% | 64% | 30% |
Sample: 5,913 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:0
- Total games Over 23.0out · 19 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Juan Manuel Cerúndolo | Zachary Svajda | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Aces | 3 |
| 2 | Double faults | 4 |
| 59% | First serves in | 68% |
| 81% | First-serve points won | 55% |
| 41% | Second-serve points won | 43% |
| 4/9 | Break points converted | 1/2 |
| 8/9 | Service games held | 6/10 |
| 64% | Service points won | 51% |
| 49% | Return points won | 36% |
| 66 | Total points won | 52 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Cerúndolo | Tour | Z. Svajda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 78% | 76% | 81% |
| Breaks of serve | 23% | 24% | 23% |
| Aces per service game | 0.42 | 0.54 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.23 | 0.19 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 19% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 13/28 | 10/25 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 62% | |
| Matches in the sample | 64 | 52 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Juan Manuel Cerúndolo
- 20/10/26LMariano Navone#43ATP Brussels · R326:7 2:6
- 10/10/26LCarlos Alcaraz#3ATP Shanghai · R643:6 3:6
- 08/10/26WNicolas Mejia#115ATP Shanghai · R1286:4 6:4
- 30/09/26LYunchaokete Bu#92ATP Beijing · R322:6 7:5 4:6
- 26/09/26LAlejandro Davidovich Fokina#15ATP Chengdu · R164:6 4:6
- 24/09/26WYi Zhou#256ATP Chengdu · R326:4 6:3
- 01/09/26LArthur Gea#44ATP US Open · R1283:6 6:2 6:3 3:6 1:6
- 27/08/26LIgnacio Buse#32ATP Winston Salem · QF6:7 6:4 2:6
- 26/08/26WSebastián Báez#49ATP Winston Salem · R166:2 4:0
- 25/08/26WDhakshineswar Suresh#421ATP Winston Salem · R327:6 6:3
Zachary Svajda
- 10/10/26LLearner Tien#18ATP Shanghai · R645:7 5:7
- 08/10/26WFabian Marozsan#63ATP Shanghai · R1286:3 7:6
- 28/09/26LAleksandar Kovacevic#84ATP Tokyo · Q17:6 2:6 4:6
- 03/09/26LArthur Gea#44ATP US Open · R647:5 3:6 2:6 2:6
- 02/09/26WDaniel Altmaier#60ATP US Open · R1286:3 6:1 6:7 6:2
- 14/08/26LMattia Bellucci#66ATP Cincinnati · R1286:7 6:7
- 05/08/26LArthur Fils#8ATP Montreal · R644:6 6:3 1:6
- 04/08/26WDenis Shapovalov#52ATP Montreal · R1284:6 6:4 3:0
- 27/07/26LAleksandar Vukic#116ATP Washington · R323:6 1:6
- 26/07/26LCruz Hewitt#314ATP Washington · Q26:1 6:7 0:2
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Cerúndolo | Z. Svajda | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 11–1150% | 21–1362% |
| Clay | 24–1562% | 4–640% |
| Grass | 2–250% | 4–450% |
Head to head
J. Cerúndolo 1–0 Z. Svajda
- 22/05/23Winner: J. Cerúndolo7:6 6:3