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WTA 125 CourmayeurRound of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Chiesa vs Charaeva 0:2: result and our tips

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Enola ChiesaWTA #535Elo 1498hard 1534
0:2final4:6 1:6
Alina CharaevaWTA #100Elo 1795hard 1759

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Enola Chiesa2%
Alina Charaeva98%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 E. Chiesa2%
2:1 E. Chiesa2%
2:1 A. Charaeva9%
2:0 A. Charaeva87%

First set

Enola Chiesa8%
Alina Charaeva92%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes11%
no89%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 16.0 · 45%market (no margin): 52%

The 16.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 17.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
13.580%20%97%
14.568%32%94%
15.555%45%88%
16.545%55%79%
17.534%66%70%
18.526%74%61%
19.521%79%53%

Sample: 444 matches

Games handicap

A. Charaeva −8.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes8%

tour average 21%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 16.0in · 17 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Enola ChiesaAlina Charaeva
2Aces5
2Double faults2
72%First serves in60%
65%First-serve points won88%
31%Second-serve points won69%
0/0Break points converted4/4
5/9Service games held8/8
55%Service points won80%
20%Return points won45%
34Total points won53

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

E. ChiesaTourA. Charaeva
Service points won55%56%57%
Return points won47%44%44%
Service games held63%63%68%
Breaks of serve43%37%36%
Aces per service game0.120.30
Double faults per game0.400.43
Sets with a tie-break9%14%
Tie-breaks won0/111/21
Wins in straight sets33%64%
Matches in the sample464

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Enola Chiesa

Alina Charaeva

Elo over the last year

Enola ChiesaAlina Charaeva

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

E. ChiesaA. Charaeva
Hard court2–0100%15–1452%
Clay1–150%17–1161%
Grass0–04–357%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Enola Chiesa

Alina Charaeva

First match in this tournament.