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Challenger SeoulChallenger 175Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Chung vs Bu 2:0: result and our tips

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Yun Seong ChungATP #756Elo 1573hard 1570
2:0final7:5 6:4
Yunchaokete BuATP #92Elo 1927hard 1888

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won57%

Where the number comes from: market alone 52% → with the players' profiles 57%

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Chung 4 of 5, Bu 16 of 20 (tour average 71%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Yun Seong Chung8%
Yunchaokete Bu92%

Elo: Y. Chung 14% · Y. Bu 86%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Y. Chung5%
2:1 Y. Chung4%
2:1 Y. Bu17%
2:0 Y. Bu74%

First set

Yun Seong Chung17%
Yunchaokete Bu83%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes21%
no79%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.578%22%88%
17.567%33%80%
18.557%43%71%
19.548%52%63%
20.539%61%54%
21.533%67%49%
22.528%72%42%

Sample: 1,421 matches

Games handicap

Y. Bu −5.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 19.5out · 22 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Yun Seong ChungYunchaokete Bu
5Aces5
1Double faults1
62%First serves in54%
73%First-serve points won59%
56%Second-serve points won61%
3/7Break points converted1/5
10/11Service games held8/11
66%Service points won60%
40%Return points won34%
76Total points won67

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Y. ChungTourY. Bu
Service points won64%62%66%
Return points won40%38%36%
Service games held76%76%85%
Breaks of serve26%24%22%
Aces per service game0.520.54
Double faults per game0.190.18
Sets with a tie-break8%22%
Tie-breaks won1/114/29
Wins in straight sets67%76%
Matches in the sample557

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Yun Seong Chung

Yunchaokete Bu

Elo over the last year

Yun Seong ChungYunchaokete Bu

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Y. ChungY. Bu
Hard court3–260%24–1660%
Clay0–02–250%
Grass0–011–285%

Head to head

Y. Chung 0–1 Y. Bu

  • 13/04/26Winner: Y. Bu1:6 4:6

Road through the tournament

Yun Seong Chung

Yunchaokete Bu