Cobolli vs Wawrinka: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 11h 25mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: F. Cobolli 68% · S. Wawrinka 33%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 74% | 26% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 66% | 34% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 59% | 41% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 52% | 48% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 45% | 55% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 37% | 63% | 35% |
Sample: 4,241 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| F. Cobolli | Tour | S. Wawrinka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 33% |
| Service games held | 79% | 76% | 82% |
| Breaks of serve | 20% | 24% | 14% |
| Aces per service game | 0.49 | 0.57 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.22 | 0.21 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 20% | 32% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 18/30 | 12/25 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 46% | |
| Matches in the sample | 57 | 29 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Flavio Cobolli
- 09/10/26LAdrian Mannarino#79ATP Shanghai · R641:6 6:4 3:6
- 01/10/26LRoman Safiullin#70ATP Beijing · R323:6 2:6
- 05/09/26LAlexander Blockx#27ATP US Open · R327:6 3:6 0:6 3:6
- 03/09/26WTristan Schoolkate#169ATP US Open · R643:6 6:3 6:4 7:5
- 01/09/26WFrancisco Comesana#130ATP US Open · R1283:6 2:6 6:3 6:4 6:4
- 22/08/26LArthur Fils#10ATP Cincinnati · SF3:6 4:6
- 20/08/26WTommy Paul#15ATP Cincinnati · QF2:6 6:3 6:4
- 19/08/26WRafael Jodar#11ATP Cincinnati · R164:6 7:6 6:3
- 17/08/26WAlexander Blockx#27ATP Cincinnati · R327:5 4:6 7:5
- 15/08/26WMiomir Kecmanovic#57ATP Cincinnati · R646:1 4:6 6:3
Stan Wawrinka
- 21/10/26WMartin Landaluce#67ATP Lyon · R326:3 6:7 7:6
- 31/08/26LMatteo Berrettini#43ATP US Open · R1286:7 6:7 0:6
- 20/08/26LRoman Safiullin#70Challenger Cancun · R163:6 4:6
- 18/08/26WDalibor Svrcina#119Challenger Cancun · R327:6 7:6
- 21/07/26LRoman Andres Burruchaga#62ATP Estoril · R324:6 6:4 3:6
- 14/07/26LJaime Faria#56ATP Gstaad · R327:6 4:6 4:6
- 30/06/26LMatteo Berrettini#43ATP Wimbledon · R1287:6 6:7 6:7 6:7
- 25/05/26LJesper De Jong#102ATP French Open · R1283:6 6:3 3:6 4:6
- 20/05/26LAlex Michelsen#37ATP Geneva · R166:7 6:7
- 18/05/26WRaul Brancaccio#230ATP Geneva · R326:2 4:6 7:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| F. Cobolli | S. Wawrinka | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 16–1453% | 9–950% |
| Clay | 14–767% | 2–820% |
| Grass | 4–267% | 0–10% |
Head to head
F. Cobolli 1–0 S. Wawrinka
- 07/10/24Winner: Flavio Cobolli6:7 7:6 6:3
Road through the tournament
Flavio Cobolli
First match in this tournament.
Stan Wawrinka
- 21/10/26WMartin Landaluce#67ATP Lyon · R326:3 6:7 7:6