Colmegna vs Pawlikowska 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Over 17.5 games in recent matches: Colmegna 9 of 10, Pawlikowska 5 of 5 (tour average 68%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. Colmegna 47% · Z. Pawlikowska 54%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 66% | 34% | 59% |
| 19.5 | 58% | 42% | 52% |
| 20.5 | 52% | 48% | 45% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 42% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 37% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 33% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 31% |
Sample: 1,372 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 20%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 20.5in · 24 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Martina Colmegna | Zuzanna Pawlikowska | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Aces | 1 |
| 6 | Double faults | 5 |
| 78% | First serves in | 65% |
| 57% | First-serve points won | 47% |
| 20% | Second-serve points won | 46% |
| 7/18 | Break points converted | 7/11 |
| 5/12 | Service games held | 5/12 |
| 49% | Service points won | 46% |
| 54% | Return points won | 51% |
| 84 | Total points won | 78 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Colmegna | Tour | Z. Pawlikowska | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 55% | 56% | 57% |
| Return points won | 45% | 44% | 45% |
| Service games held | 60% | 63% | 63% |
| Breaks of serve | 37% | 37% | 38% |
| Aces per service game | 0.11 | 0.14 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.22 | 0.23 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 23% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 3/5 | 1/2 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 33% | |
| Matches in the sample | 10 | 5 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Martina Colmegna
- 13/10/26LFrancesca Jones#98WTA 125 Lisbon · R325:7 1:6
- 15/09/26LMia Ristic#182WTA 125 Ljubljana · R325:7 6:7
- 14/09/26WGabriella Price#981WTA 125 Ljubljana · Q16:2 6:3
- 14/07/26LBarbora Palicova#181WTA 125 Kitzbuhel · R326:3 6:7 1:6
- 12/07/26WBarbora Palicova#181WTA 125 Kitzbuhel · Q16:3 7:6
- 23/02/26LAnastasia Zolotareva#296WTA 125 Antalya · Q13:6 5:7
- 22/02/26WCarolina Alves#309WTA 125 Antalya · Q16:4 7:6
- 02/12/25LOleksandra Oliynykova#62WTA 125 Quito · R323:6 6:3 3:6
- 01/12/25WMarie Elise CasaresWTA 125 Quito · Q17:6 6:3
- 16/11/25LAlicia Herrero Linana#227WTA 125 Colina · Q12:6 5:7
Zuzanna Pawlikowska
- 05/08/26LVendula Valdmannova#169WTA 125 Warsaw · R163:6 4:6
- 04/08/26WLia Karatancheva#378WTA 125 Warsaw · R326:4 6:2
- 03/02/26LHanne Vandewinkel#103WTA 125 Mumbai · R323:6 3:6
- 01/02/26WAnastasia Kulikova#303WTA 125 Mumbai · Q16:3 4:6 7:6
- 31/01/26WParthsarthi Aru MundheWTA 125 Mumbai · R166:7 6:2 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Colmegna | Z. Pawlikowska | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–0 | 3–260% |
| Clay | 4–640% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.