ATP Brussels250Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Coppejans vs Guerrieri 0:2: result and our tips

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Kimmer CoppejansATP #222Elo 1721hard 1692
0:2final6:7(2) 4:6
Andrea GuerrieriATP #166Elo 1796hard 1757

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: NoLost68%

Where the number comes from: market alone 59% → with the players' profiles 68%

No tie-break in recent matches: Coppejans 17 of 20, Guerrieri 15 of 20 (tour average 61%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 24.5Won60%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 57% → with the players' profiles 60%

    Under 24.5 games in recent matches: Coppejans 18 of 20, Guerrieri 12 of 20 (tour average 62%)

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won60%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No third set in recent matches: Coppejans 19 of 20, Guerrieri 11 of 20 (tour average 65%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Lost34%

Where the number comes from: market alone 28% → with the players' profiles 34%

Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Coppejans 13 of 20, Guerrieri 7 of 20 (tour average 32%); Guerrieri: 3 matches in a row under 19.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Kimmer Coppejans41%
Andrea Guerrieri59%

Elo: K. Coppejans 41% · A. Guerrieri 59%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Coppejans23%
2:1 K. Coppejans19%
2:1 A. Guerrieri21%
2:0 A. Guerrieri37%

First set

Kimmer Coppejans44%
Andrea Guerrieri56%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 52%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%76%
19.565%35%68%
20.560%40%60%
21.552%48%54%
22.545%55%46%
23.543%57%39%
24.540%61%38%

Sample: 5,840 matches

Games handicap

Andrea Guerrieri −2.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes32%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 21.5in · 23 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Kimmer CoppejansAndrea Guerrieri
7Aces4
3Double faults5
67%First serves in70%
64%First-serve points won66%
36%Second-serve points won42%
3/8Break points converted4/8
7/11Service games held8/11
55%Service points won59%
41%Return points won45%
80Total points won86

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. CoppejansTourA. Guerrieri
Service points won60%62%60%
Return points won42%38%43%
Service games held71%76%74%
Breaks of serve32%24%33%
Aces per service game0.310.20
Double faults per game0.290.36
Sets with a tie-break13%13%
Tie-breaks won8/209/21
Wins in straight sets68%60%
Matches in the sample6868

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Kimmer Coppejans

Andrea Guerrieri

Elo over the last year

Kimmer CoppejansAndrea Guerrieri

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. CoppejansA. Guerrieri
Hard court10–1245%19–1163%
Clay26–1859%24–1071%
Grass1–150%2–250%

Head to head

They have not met yet.