Guerrieri vs Kaśnikowski: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 4h 45mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: A. Guerrieri 66% · M. Kaśnikowski 34%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 73% | 27% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 65% | 36% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 58% | 42% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 52% | 48% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 45% | 55% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 60% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 38% | 62% | 35% |
Sample: 5,825 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Guerrieri | Tour | M. Kaśnikowski | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 43% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 74% | 76% | 81% |
| Breaks of serve | 33% | 24% | 26% |
| Aces per service game | 0.20 | 0.36 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.37 | 0.13 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 14% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 9/21 | 10/23 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 72% | |
| Matches in the sample | 67 | 66 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Andrea Guerrieri
- 12/10/26WAbdullah Shelbayh#291Challenger Olbia · R326:2 6:3
- 01/10/26LAugust Holmgren#236Challenger Porto 2 · R165:7 1:6
- 29/09/26WAnton Matusevich#314Challenger Porto 2 · R326:4 4:6 6:0
- 24/09/26LJesper De Jong#95Challenger Saint Tropez · R166:3 6:7 6:7
- 21/09/26WFrancesco Maestrelli#171Challenger Saint Tropez · R326:3 6:7 6:3
- 02/09/26LAlex de Minaur#9ATP US Open · R1282:6 2:6 4:6
- 27/08/26WAziz Dougaz#430ATP US Open · Q36:2 6:4
- 26/08/26WJoel Schwaerzler#176ATP US Open · Q23:6 6:4 6:1
- 24/08/26WAugust Holmgren#236ATP US Open · Q16:3 6:7 6:2
- 18/08/26LSoonwoo Kwon#161Challenger Quebec City · Q23:6 3:6
Maks Kaśnikowski
- 12/10/26WCezar Cretu#276Challenger Olbia · R326:2 6:1
- 06/10/26LPhilip Henning#267Challenger Villena · R326:7 1:6
- 12/09/26LJay Friend#260Challenger Istanbul 3 · SF6:7 4:6
- 11/09/26WFrancesco Maestrelli#171Challenger Istanbul 3 · QF6:0 2:6 6:1
- 09/09/26WChristian Langmo#534Challenger Istanbul 3 · R166:3 7:6
- 07/09/26WIvan Marrero Curbelo#370Challenger Istanbul 3 · R324:6 7:5 6:0
- 03/09/26LAlejo Sanchez Quilez#375Challenger Manacor · R165:7 6:7
- 02/09/26WElmer Moller#181Challenger Manacor · R326:2 4:6 6:4
- 25/08/26LNicolai Budkov Kjaer#152ATP US Open · Q16:7 6:4 4:6
- 06/08/26LIvan Marrero Curbelo#370Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · R166:2 6:7 1:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Guerrieri | M. Kaśnikowski | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 19–1066% | 26–1662% |
| Clay | 24–1071% | 13–1154% |
| Grass | 2–250% | 0–0 |
Head to head
A. Guerrieri 1–0 M. Kaśnikowski
- 02/04/26Winner: Andrea Guerrieri3:6 6:3 6:4
Road through the tournament
Andrea Guerrieri
- 12/10/26WAbdullah Shelbayh#291Challenger Olbia · R326:2 6:3
Maks Kaśnikowski
- 12/10/26WCezar Cretu#276Challenger Olbia · R326:2 6:1