Challenger OlbiaChallenger 175Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Guerrieri vs Shelbayh 2:0: result and our tips

·

Andrea GuerrieriATP #165Elo 1805hard 1766
2:0final6:2 6:3
Abdullah ShelbayhATP #291Elo 1746hard 1740

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Lost70%

Where the number comes from: market alone 76% → with the players' profiles 70%

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Guerrieri 16 of 20, Shelbayh 16 of 20 (tour average 71%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Lost41%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Guerrieri 10 of 20, Shelbayh 9 of 20 (tour average 37%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Andrea Guerrieri52%
Abdullah Shelbayh48%

Elo: A. Guerrieri 54% · A. Shelbayh 46%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Guerrieri33%
2:1 A. Guerrieri20%
2:1 A. Shelbayh19%
2:0 A. Shelbayh29%

First set

Andrea Guerrieri52%
Abdullah Shelbayh48%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.570%30%71%
19.562%38%62%
20.556%44%54%
21.549%51%49%
22.543%57%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.537%63%35%

Sample: 5,176 matches

Games handicap

Andrea Guerrieri −0.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes27%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Andrea GuerrieriAbdullah Shelbayh
2Aces1
0Double faults1
65%First serves in68%
75%First-serve points won68%
77%Second-serve points won25%
3/9Break points converted0/2
9/9Service games held5/8
76%Service points won54%
46%Return points won25%
60Total points won39

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. GuerrieriTourA. Shelbayh
Service points won60%62%60%
Return points won43%38%39%
Service games held74%76%73%
Breaks of serve33%24%27%
Aces per service game0.200.28
Double faults per game0.370.30
Sets with a tie-break14%15%
Tie-breaks won9/219/21
Wins in straight sets59%62%
Matches in the sample6659

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Andrea Guerrieri

Abdullah Shelbayh

Elo over the last year

Andrea GuerrieriAbdullah Shelbayh

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. GuerrieriA. Shelbayh
Hard court18–1064%21–1755%
Clay24–1071%6–1135%
Grass2–250%2–250%

Head to head

They have not met yet.