Challenger VillenaChallenger 125Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying

Shelbayh vs Glinka 1:2: result and our tips

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Abdullah ShelbayhATP #291Elo 1762hard 1757
1:2final6:7(2) 6:4 3:6
Daniil GlinkaATP #178Elo 1730hard 1733

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won75%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Shelbayh 16 of 20, Glinka 18 of 20 (tour average 71%)

Other tips

  • Tie-break in Match: NoLost67%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 65% → with the players' profiles 67%

    No tie-break in recent matches: Shelbayh 14 of 20, Glinka 16 of 20 (tour average 68%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Abdullah Shelbayh39%
Daniil Glinka61%

Elo: A. Shelbayh 54% · D. Glinka 47%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Shelbayh23%
2:1 A. Shelbayh16%
2:1 D. Glinka22%
2:0 D. Glinka39%

First set

Abdullah Shelbayh42%
Daniil Glinka58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 46%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.575%25%71%
19.566%34%62%
20.559%41%54%
21.554%46%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%

Sample: 5,726 matches

Games handicap

Daniil Glinka −2.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes33%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 32 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Abdullah ShelbayhDaniil Glinka
8Aces4
4Double faults7
64%First serves in57%
68%First-serve points won72%
44%Second-serve points won46%
4/12Break points converted4/6
11/15Service games held12/16
59%Service points won61%
39%Return points won41%
96Total points won104

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. ShelbayhTourD. Glinka
Service points won60%62%64%
Return points won39%38%39%
Service games held74%76%79%
Breaks of serve27%24%24%
Aces per service game0.270.57
Double faults per game0.290.25
Sets with a tie-break14%13%
Tie-breaks won9/2017/23
Wins in straight sets63%70%
Matches in the sample6079

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Abdullah Shelbayh

Daniil Glinka

Elo over the last year

Abdullah ShelbayhDaniil Glinka

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. ShelbayhD. Glinka
Hard court22–1756%39–2165%
Clay6–1135%8–753%
Grass2–250%0–40%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Abdullah Shelbayh

Daniil Glinka