Challenger VillenaChallenger 125Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Dzumhur vs Shelbayh 1:2: result and our tips

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Damir DzumhurATP #103Elo 1802hard 1751
1:2final5:7 6:3 3:6
Abdullah ShelbayhATP #291Elo 1744hard 1741

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Damir Dzumhur48%
Abdullah Shelbayh52%

Elo: D. Dzumhur 51% · A. Shelbayh 49%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Dzumhur29%
2:1 D. Dzumhur19%
2:1 A. Shelbayh20%
2:0 A. Shelbayh33%

First set

Damir Dzumhur48%
Abdullah Shelbayh52%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 50%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%71%
19.564%36%62%
20.557%43%54%
21.551%50%49%
22.544%56%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.538%62%35%

Sample: 5,148 matches

Games handicap

Abdullah Shelbayh −0.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 30 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Damir DzumhurAbdullah Shelbayh
0Aces8
5Double faults5
71%First serves in59%
70%First-serve points won63%
40%Second-serve points won50%
3/15Break points converted4/9
11/15Service games held12/15
61%Service points won57%
43%Return points won39%
104Total points won103

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. DzumhurTourA. Shelbayh
Service points won59%62%60%
Return points won40%38%39%
Service games held70%76%74%
Breaks of serve27%24%27%
Aces per service game0.140.27
Double faults per game0.160.29
Sets with a tie-break18%14%
Tie-breaks won12/259/20
Wins in straight sets56%66%
Matches in the sample5759

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Damir Dzumhur

Abdullah Shelbayh

Elo over the last year

Damir DzumhurAbdullah Shelbayh

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. DzumhurA. Shelbayh
Hard court10–1442%21–1755%
Clay13–1645%6–1135%
Grass2–250%2–250%

Head to head

D. Dzumhur 1–1 A. Shelbayh

  • 20/11/24Winner: Abdullah Shelbayh4:6 2:6
  • 22/10/24Winner: Damir Dzumhur6:1 6:1

Road through the tournament

Damir Dzumhur

Abdullah Shelbayh