Challenger VillenaChallenger 125Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Echargui vs Glinka 0:2: result and our tips

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Moez EcharguiATP #356Elo 1663hard 1657
0:2final2:6 1:6
Daniil GlinkaATP #178Elo 1715hard 1718

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Lost70%

Where the number comes from: market alone 68% → with the players' profiles 70%

Glinka: 9 matches in a row over 19.5 games; Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Echargui 14 of 20, Glinka 17 of 20 (tour average 62%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Moez Echargui42%
Daniil Glinka58%

Elo: M. Echargui 41% · D. Glinka 59%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Echargui25%
2:1 M. Echargui17%
2:1 D. Glinka21%
2:0 D. Glinka37%

First set

Moez Echargui44%
Daniil Glinka56%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.569%31%62%
20.561%39%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.549%52%42%
23.542%58%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,714 matches

Games handicap

Daniil Glinka −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes38%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Moez EcharguiDaniil Glinka
2Aces3
1Double faults2
58%First serves in48%
50%First-serve points won84%
25%Second-serve points won71%
1/6Break points converted5/8
2/7Service games held7/8
40%Service points won78%
23%Return points won61%
24Total points won54

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. EcharguiTourD. Glinka
Service points won61%62%64%
Return points won36%38%38%
Service games held72%76%79%
Breaks of serve20%24%24%
Aces per service game0.390.57
Double faults per game0.220.25
Sets with a tie-break20%13%
Tie-breaks won16/2617/23
Wins in straight sets58%70%
Matches in the sample5578

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Moez Echargui

Daniil Glinka

Elo over the last year

Moez EcharguiDaniil Glinka

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. EcharguiD. Glinka
Hard court14–2437%38–2164%
Clay3–1023%8–753%
Grass2–250%0–40%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Moez Echargui

Daniil Glinka